In my opinion Everton have much bigger chances in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +1 or +1.5 AH on home side looks like great value.

Everton have big mental advantage before this game. They won in previous season at home against Arsenal, already with coach Dyche on the bench. Arsenal failed to win in 6 of last 7 matches at Goodison Park.

I believe home ground in this match up should really give big advantage for hosts. Goodison Park is very energetic place, especially in such prime time matches. In last 19 matches when Everton played at home Sunday 16:30 or Monday evening they lost only twice. What is even more impressive - they recorded 11 wins in those 19 matches and during that run they won against top teams like United, Chelsea or Arsenal.

Everton started new season in poor style, no doubt about that. In last round they recorded draw 2:2 on away against Sheffield, but for sure they deserved for something more. Everton looked very dangerous in attack, produced 2.59 expected goals scored. In addition to that, their key striker Calvert-Lewin is available today. Everton have all required tools to score today. Arsenal failed to keep clean sheet in 4 of last 5 matches. They kept clean sheet on away against Crystal Palace, but they had 1.01 expected goals conceded in that game.

Everton also have huge advantage in fitness department. 16 players from Arsenal squad played in national matches last week and for sure freshness is not on their side.

On those circumstances I see extremely good value on home side here.

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在我看来，埃弗顿在这场比赛中的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大得多。主队+1或+1.5 AH看起来很值。

埃弗顿在这场比赛前有很大的心理优势。上个赛季，他们在主场战胜了阿森纳，当时主教练戴奇已经坐上了替补席。阿森纳在古迪逊公园球场的最近7场比赛中有6场没有获胜。

我相信在这场比赛中主场会给东道主带来很大的优势。古迪逊公园是个充满活力的地方，尤其是在黄金时段的比赛中。在过去的19场比赛中，埃弗顿在周日16:30或周一晚上的主场比赛中只输了两场。更令人印象深刻的是，他们在这19场比赛中取得了11场胜利，在这19场比赛中，他们战胜了曼联、切尔西和阿森纳这样的强队。

埃弗顿以糟糕的风格开始新赛季，这是毫无疑问的。上一轮他们客场2比2战平谢菲尔德，但他们应该得到更多。埃弗顿在进攻上看起来很危险，创造了2.59个预期进球。除此之外，他们的主力前锋卡尔弗特-卢因今天可以上场。埃弗顿今天拥有得分所需的所有工具。阿森纳在最近的5场比赛中有4场没有保持零封。他们在客场对阵水晶宫的比赛中保持了零失球，但他们在那场比赛中有1.01个预期失球。

埃弗顿在体能方面也有很大的优势。上周，阿森纳有16名球员参加了国家队比赛，毫无疑问，新鲜感对他们不利。

在这种情况下，我认为主队非常有价值。

09月17日埃弗顿 VS 阿森纳比赛分析直播