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Two strong picks for the Sunday!

2023-09-17

比赛分析

主队哈马比LOGO

哈马比

瑞超

已完赛

星期日2023-09-17 21:00

客队马尔默LOGO

马尔默

主队埃弗顿LOGO

埃弗顿

英超

已完赛

星期日2023-09-17 23:30

客队阿森纳LOGO

阿森纳

解读理由

EVERTON - ARSENAL

Huge gap between both teams.

Everton scored their first goals and earned their first point of the season in their last game, a battling 2-2 draw away at Sheffield United. They have had a really poor start of the season, with 1 draw and 3 defeats so far. Are one of the five teams in the Premier League who are still winless.

Scoring goals has been their biggest issue. New signing Beto – who looked sharp against Sheffield United – will be looking to end their scoring woes up top, something that recently departed Neal Maupay was unable to do. Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be back from his facial injury, and new signing Jack Harrison joined in first-team training this week. This game will also come too early for the return of André Gomes, however.

Everton has conceded eight goals in four Premier League games, averaging two goals per game, despite facing opponents like Fulham, Aston Villa, Wolves, and Sheffield United — none of which are expected to finish at the top of the Premier League.

For the home side, it’s to grab much-needed points to counter the recent run of terrible form that sees them as relegation candidates.

On the other hand, Arsenal is hoping to be a title contender alongside Manchester City this season again, after a strong start of the campaign. They started well with three wins and one unlucky draw against Fulham (2:2), conceding a late goal at 87’, producing 3.15 expected goals (xG), 71% possession, and conceding just 0.55 xG.

However, they followed that draw with a solid and deserved victory 3:1 over Manchester United at the Emirates before the international break, which surely gave them a lot of confidence.

They have scored 8 goals so far - 2 per game. Everton’s defense has been terrible and this could be a significant issue when facing Arsenal's attacking prowess, with players like Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, and Gabriel Martinelli likely to pose a serious threat.

Everton may attempt to make it a physical battle, but their quality may not be enough to keep up with an Arsenal attack that is known for their speed and skill. Moreover, Arsenal boasts a strong defense, making them confident in their ability to shut out an offensively-challenged Everton side.

Arsenal clearly outclass Everton in almost every aspect of the game, so I believe that the away victory is the best bet here.

HAMMARBY - MALMO

Hammarby had a slow start of the season. They had the clear target of the TOP3, but started with only one victory in 6 games and also had a run of 4 defeats in 5 games. But everything changed in the Conference League games against Twente, where the team changed the system to a 3-5-2 and they made much better performances and a better defense, conceding very few chances and goals.

They have won 13 of the last 15 points, and are coming from a solid victory 4:2 over AIK in the Stockholm derby before the international break, getting a lot of confidence. In this period they also beat strong teams such as Elfsborg (Allsvenskan leaders) or Norrkoping.

Now they are one of the most in-form teams in the league and are fighting for the TOP3, which is 9 points above. The 4th position could grant access to Europe too, which is just 5 points above. At home in the Tele2 stadium they have won the last 5 games played. In this season so far they won 25 of the 30 points played at home (8W/1D/1L).

On the other hand, Malmo is a title contender but aren’t in good form. They have won just one of the last 4 games, and are coming from a lucky draw against Goteborg 2:2 at home scoring at 97’.

They have been the opposite as Hammarby: made a very strong start to the season with many consecutive victories, and now have won just 3 of the last 9 games. They are playing worse, creating less chances, conceding more goals, and decreasing the pace. Coach Rydstrom had time now in the international break to solve this, but he lost a few players with their national teams so surely wasn’t easy.

The victories came against weak teams which are expected to be in the mid zone or relegation in the table.

Away from home they have been terrible lately, with three loses, one draw and just two victories in the last 6.Not good enough for a side pushing for the title.

Hammarby and the artificial pitch of the Tele2 stadium (Malmo plays in a natural field) has not been a good place for Malmo lately - their last victory there was in 2016.

They have to deal also with several injuries, as well as the departure of Anders who was an important player. For this fixture they’ll struggle especially in the defensive zone with the absences, with also a key player like Peña suspended.

So Malmo are coming in poor form and with doubts to this difficult match. Hammarby is in great form and full of confidence, thanks for their recent performances and results. Also guests will be missing several key players, especially Anders and Peña in the midfield. Malmo shouldn’t be favorites to win this game, which is 50-50 in my opinion.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

埃弗顿-阿森纳

两队之间的差距很大。

埃弗顿在最后一场客场2-2战平谢菲尔德联队的比赛中打进了他们的首个进球,并获得了本赛季的首个积分。他们本赛季的开局很糟糕,至今1平3负。是英超五支至今仍未获胜的球队之一。

进球是他们最大的问题。新签下的贝托在对阵谢菲尔德联的比赛中表现出色,他希望结束球队的进球困境,这是最近离开的尼尔·莫佩无法做到的。多米尼克·卡尔弗特-卢因将从面部伤势中恢复,新签下的杰克·哈里森也将在本周参加一线队的训练。然而,这场比赛对安德雷•戈麦斯的回归来说也为时过早。

埃弗顿在4场英超比赛中丢了8球,场均丢2球,尽管面对的对手包括富勒姆、阿斯顿维拉、狼队和谢菲尔德联队——没有一支球队有望在英超排名第一。

对于主队来说,这是为了抓住急需的积分来对抗最近糟糕的状态,这使他们成为降级候选人。

另一方面,阿森纳希望在本赛季开局强劲的情况下,与曼城一起成为联赛冠军的有力竞争者。他们开局不错,在对阵富勒姆(2:2)的比赛中取得了3胜1平,最后时刻在87分钟丢了一个球,预期进球3.15个,控球率71%,失球率只有0.55个。

然而,在那场平局之后,他们在国际比赛日之前在酋长球场以3:1完胜曼联,这无疑给了他们很大的信心。

到目前为止,他们已经进了8球——场均2球。埃弗顿的防守一直很糟糕,当面对阿森纳的进攻能力时,这可能是一个重大问题,像萨卡、热苏斯和马蒂内利这样的球员可能会构成严重的威胁。

埃弗顿可能会试图让它成为一场身体对抗,但他们的实力可能不足以跟上阿森纳以速度和技术闻名的进攻。此外,阿森纳拥有强大的防守,这使他们对自己有能力阻止埃弗顿的进攻充满信心。

阿森纳在比赛的几乎每个方面都明显胜过埃弗顿,所以我相信客场胜利是最好的赌注。

Hammarby - malmo

哈姆比本赛季开局不佳。他们有明确的TOP3的目标,但在6场比赛中只取得了一场胜利,并且在5场比赛中连续4场失利。但在与特温特的联盟比赛中,一切都改变了,球队把阵型改成了3-5-2,他们表现得更好,防守也更好,丢的机会和进球也很少。

他们在过去的15分中赢得了13分,并且在国际比赛日之前的斯德哥尔摩德比中以4:2击败AIK,获得了很多信心。在此期间,他们也击败了强大的球队,如埃尔夫斯堡(阿尔斯温斯坎的领头羊)或诺尔雪平。

现在他们是联盟中状态最好的球队之一,并且正在为前三而战,这比他们高出9分。排名第四的国家也可能获得进入欧洲的机会,后者仅比英国高出5分。在主场的Tele2体育场,他们赢得了最近5场比赛。本赛季迄今为止,他们在主场赢得了30分中的25分(8W/1D/1L)。

另一方面,马尔默是冠军争夺者,但状态不佳。他们在过去的4场比赛中只赢了一场,并且在主场2:2战平哥德堡的比赛中打入97分。

他们和汉姆比完全相反:本赛季开局非常强势,取得了许多连胜,而现在他们在最近的9场比赛中只赢了3场。他们踢得越来越差,创造的机会越来越少,丢的球越来越多,节奏也越来越慢。莱德斯特罗姆教练现在有时间在国际比赛日解决这个问题,但他在国家队失去了一些球员,所以肯定不容易。

这些胜利来自于一些实力较弱的球队,这些球队可能在积分榜上处于中游或降级区。

在客场,他们最近的表现很糟糕,在过去的6场比赛中,他们3负1平,只有2胜。对于一支争夺冠军的球队来说还不够好。

哈姆比和Tele2球场的人造球场(马尔默在一个自然场地上比赛)最近并不是马尔默的好地方——他们在那里的最后一场胜利是在2016年。

他们还必须处理一些伤病,以及安德斯的离开,他是一名重要的球员。在这场比赛中,他们将在防守区挣扎,尤其是在缺阵的情况下,像Peña这样的关键球员也将停赛。

马尔默也来了

糟糕的状态和对这场艰难比赛的怀疑。哈马比状态很好,充满信心,感谢他们最近的表现和成绩。客人也将失去几个关键球员,特别是安德斯和Peña在中场。马尔默不应该是赢得这场比赛的热门,在我看来,这是50-50。

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