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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on 世青赛 美国20VS新西兰20

2023-05-30

比赛分析

主队美国20LOGO

美国20

世青杯

已完赛

星期三2023-05-31 01:30

客队新西兰20LOGO

新西兰20

解读理由

USA U20 VS New Zealand U20


New Zealand U20 challenge USA U20 for this World Cup U20 1/8-finals at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas in Mendoza early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Challenge is all I think they can actually do here as USA have a massive edge in all areas of the game. Furthermore, USA, with over 320 million people, are a much bigger football country than the small country of New Zealand. Many more Americans than New Zealanders are expected to be cheering for their countrymen at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. I do not often recommend a bet on a heavy favorite, especially with a -1.5 goals handicap which means that the team we are betting on must win by a margin of at least two goals for my fans and me to make a profit. The biggest, often somewhat sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of around 1.60 on the -1.5 handicap – at least at the time of writing this analysis Tuesday evening Beijing time. However, I would not be at all surprised to see the odds on USA come down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them.. USA won all three games in the group stage! Furthermore, they netted the ball six time. However, their number of expected goals (xG) was even bigger!

In their most recent match USA faced Slovakia U20 priced around 2.10-2-20 on the betting market at the time of kick off to win four days ago. However, they fully controlled the events on the pitch at Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario winning 2-0. The final score could have been even more clear! USA had “only” 53% ball possession but recorded many more goal attempts (19-11), shots on and off target, total passes, completed passes, corner kicks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated 2.89 in xG. Slovakia, who can be a dangerous team and finished in 3rd place in the Group B, only managed to record 0.25 in xG. What a dominant performance it was! Before this they crushed Fidzi U20 despite looking pretty lazy on the pitch. The final score was “just” 3-0. However, I need to mention that Fidzi are a bad team. In the opening game USA were very strong against Ecuador U20 despite winning just 1-0. This match was expected to be very balanced by the bookies. Most bookmakers had USA only as marginal favorites. In reality, USA were the much better team! USA had 62% ball possession but recorded many more goal attempts (19-7), shots on goal (6-0) total passes, completed passes, corner kicks (8-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. New Zealand, on the other hand, finished in 3rd place in Group A and managed to win just one game – 1-0 over a pretty lowly team Guatemala U20. They did, however, have some luck on their side in this game as the Guatemalans recorded six shots on goal – New Zealand managed just two. Both teams did, however, record eight goal attempts. New Zealand were solid favorites on the betting market – yet another example of them being overrated. They were dominated by Uzbekistan U20 but managed to take a 2-2 draw. The Uzbeks recorded nearly 30 goal attempts!





该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

美国U20 VS新西兰U20


北京时间周三凌晨,在门多萨阿根廷马尔维纳斯球场举行的本届世界杯U20 1/8决赛中,新西兰U20对阵美国U20。我认为他们在这里能做的就是挑战,因为美国在比赛的各个领域都有巨大的优势。此外,拥有超过3.2亿人口的美国是一个比小国新西兰大得多的足球国家。预计将有更多的美国人比新西兰人在阿根廷马尔维纳斯球场为他们的同胞加油。我通常不建议在热门球队上下注,尤其是在胜率为-1.5的情况下,这意味着我们下注的球队必须以至少两球的优势获胜,这样我和我的球迷才能获利。北京时间周二晚上,至少在撰写这篇分析时,接受客户最大赌注的最大的、往往有些精明的博彩公司对-1.5的赔率开出了1.60左右的赔率。然而,如果看到美国在开球前赔率下降,我一点也不会感到惊讶,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。美国队赢得了小组赛的三场比赛!此外,他们六次把球打进网里。然而,他们的预期目标数量(xG)甚至更大!

在他们最近的一场比赛中,美国队面对斯洛伐克队,在四天前开球时,博彩市场上U20的价格约为2.10-2-20。然而,他们在圣胡安球场以2-0的比分完全控制了局势。最后的比分本可以更清楚!美国队的控球率“只有”53%,但他们的进球次数(19-11次)、射正和射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数和危险进攻次数都要多得多。此外,他们在xG中产生了2.89。斯洛伐克是一支危险的球队,在B组排名第三,在xG只取得了0.25分的成绩。这是一场多么出色的表演啊!在此之前,他们击败了意大利U20,尽管他们在球场上看起来很懒。最后的比分“仅仅”是3比0。然而,我需要提到的是,Fidzi是一个糟糕的团队。在首场比赛中,美国对厄瓜多尔U20的表现非常强劲,尽管仅以1-0取胜。博彩公司都认为这场比赛势均力敌。大多数博彩公司认为美国队的胜算不大。事实上,美国是一支更好的球队!美国队的控球率为62%,但他们的进球次数(19-7)、射正次数(6-0)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数(8-1)、进攻和危险进攻次数更多。另一方面,新西兰在A组排名第三,只赢了一场比赛——1比0战胜了实力相当弱的U20球队危地马拉。然而,他们在这场比赛中确实有一些运气,危地马拉人有6次射门,新西兰队只有2次射门。然而,两支球队都有8次射门。新西兰队是博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队,这是他们被高估的又一个例子。他们被乌兹别克斯坦U20控制,但最终以2比2战平。乌兹别克人有近30次射门!



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