I did think long and hard whether to take this one as HJK played their best match for years last time when they hosted Betis, whereas AS Roma failed away in Bulgaria!

Then again, those two matches are a perfect setup for this game as now Roma have to win, they have almost full squad available, and the Stadio Olimpico is sold out!

Normally - let us say they had won Ludogorets - Mourinho would rotate his side strongly, but there is no room for fooling around. The local media expected lineups look like this:

我确实想了很久，是否要选择这场比赛，因为赫尔辛基上一次在主场迎战贝蒂斯时打出了他们多年来最好的比赛，而罗马在保加利亚却失败了！

再说一次，这两场比赛是这场比赛的完美设置，因为现在罗马必须赢，他们几乎有完整的阵容可供使用，而且奥林匹克体育场已经售罄！

通常情况下——他们如果赢得了卢多戈雷茨——穆里尼奥会强烈地轮换他的阵营，但没有轮换的余地。当地媒体预计的阵容是这样的：

Everyone is expecting more or less as strong lineup as possible.

How have AS Roma been doing in Serie A so far?

每个人都或多或少地期待着尽可能强大的阵容。

到目前为止，罗马在意甲的表现如何？

4-1-1 from 6 games, and what is remarkable is that against the weaker teams in Serie A, the 4 wins so far, have been full of Roma goal chances, they have created worth of 3 or almost 4 goals worth of xG. In their last 6 home Europa league games over the past 2 seasons they have scored at least 3 goals 5 times, and the opponents have been like Braga, Shaktar, Ajax and Man Utd!

And then we talk about teams whose market value is 15-20 times bigger than of HJK. There are a few absentees still at HJK, but in a match like this where the basic class is so huge the choices, lineups or individual efforts do not mean much, simply because HJK will not see much of the ball. Also the natural grass, very late kick-off time and 60 000 fans are something they are not used to. The kick-off time actually is not talked about enough here and it almost like a cross-continent time zone change. The match kicks off a 21:00 local time, which is 3.5 hours later than normally and the bodies of HJK players are normally reading themselves to get to bed! It is very difficult to stay alert at a time when you should be sleeping.

Roma have no need to win by a super big margin, but definitely they are not going to risk any points here and the earlier this lead is taken the better so take can relax and look at the their weekend match v Atalanta. Likewise HJK are in the title fight and have a must win game v SJK.

I wish this would be more even, but unfortunately it will not be.

6场4胜1平1负，令人瞩目的是，对阵意甲较弱的球队，迄今为止的4场胜利，都充满了罗马的进球机会，他们创造了价值3或近4个进球的预期进球 .近2个赛季近6场欧联主场，他们至少5次打进3球，对手是布拉加、沙克塔尔、阿贾克斯和曼联！

赫尔辛基仍然有一些球员缺席，但在这样的比赛中，基础实力差距如此之大，选择、阵容或个人努力并没有多大意义，仅仅是因为 赫尔辛基不会看到太多进球。天然的草地、很晚的开球时间和 6 万名球迷都是他们不习惯的。开球时间实际上在这里讨论得不够多，几乎就像跨大陆时区的变化。比赛于当地时间21:00开赛，比平时晚了3.5小时，赫尔辛基队员在平时看书并且上床睡觉！在你应该睡觉的时候保持警觉是非常困难的。

罗马没有必要以超大的优势获胜，但他们绝对不会在这里冒任何风险，而且越早取得领先越好，所以采取可以放松一下，考虑他们周末对阵亚特兰大的比赛。同样，赫尔辛基正在争夺联赛冠军，并且必须赢得对 SJK 的比赛。

我希望这会更均匀，但不幸的是很可能不会。