Roma vs HJK

Roma and HJK fight for important points in this UEFA Europa League group stage round 2 at Stadio Olimpico early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest of UEFA’s club competitions after Champions League. The hosts are a legendary Italian team. The visitors are reigning champions of my home country, Finland. HJK come from my home city Helsinki and I have watched all their matches for several years in a row – often live at HJK’s Bolt Arena. HJK are the worst team in this competition by raw class and this must be one of most unbalanced matches in this competition this season. Let’s take a look at some numbers to really understand the huge gape between the two teams: According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com Roma’s squad has a total market value of whopping 402.35 million euros! This number is more or less correct in my opinion. HJK’s players have a total value of just 9.20 million.

HJK faced a Spanish team Real Betis in the first round losing 0-2. I must admit that as a whole the match was more balanced than I would have expected. HJK started the match well and Betis only started to dominate around the 38th minute and took the lead through a penalty right before halftime. I suspect that the “surprisingly narrow” loss is affecting the odds here. Betis are, after all, a very dangerous team and finished in 5th place in la Liga – the second-best league in the world - last season and also lifted the Copa del Rey (Spanish Cup) trophy! In the second half the massive gap in raw class between the Finns and the visitors could be seen very clearly and Betis controlled the events on the pitch – artificial turf it is. HJK clearly benefit from the artificial turf and in 2014 they even beat Torino and FC Copenhagen at home at the same stadium. However, at Stadio Olimpico the match is of course played on natural grass. The home advantage is massive in general in UEFA’s club competitions and Finnish teams almost never pull a surprise away from home. Roma’s loud fans will surely push the team to keep attacking even if – and probably when the score is 2-0 or perhaps 3-1. Last season HJK were extremely poor in Austria and Isreal in the Conference League. They did beat a very poor team Alashkert in Armenia though but were quite lucky in this match. Roma lost to a Bulgaria to Ludogorets 1-2 but would have deserved a win. They must be annoyed by the loss and will get their revenge here at a very high probability. The chance of them winning by at least three goals’ difference is 59%. HJK will be wihtout a key striker Radulovic here which hurts a lot,

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：罗马vs HJK

北京时间周五凌晨，罗马和香港在奥林匹克球场争夺欧联杯小组赛第二轮的重要积分。这是继欧冠之后欧足联第二高的俱乐部赛事。东道主是一支传奇的意大利球队。客队是我的祖国芬兰的卫冕冠军。HJK来自我的家乡赫尔辛基，我连续几年观看了他们所有的比赛——经常是在HJK的博尔特球馆现场。从水平上看，香港是本场比赛中最差的球队，这肯定是本赛季本场比赛中最不平衡的比赛之一。让我们来看看一些数据，来真正理解两支球队之间的巨大差距:根据德国知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，罗马队的总市值高达4.0235亿欧元!这个数字在我看来多少是正确的。香港巨人队球员的总身价只有920万英镑。

HJK在第一轮中遭遇西班牙球队皇家贝蒂斯，以0-2的比分落败。我必须承认，从整体上看，这场比赛比我预期的更加平衡。HJK的比赛开局不错，贝蒂斯在第38分钟左右才开始占据优势，并在半场结束前通过点球取得领先。我怀疑“意外地小”的损失影响了赔率。贝蒂斯毕竟是一支非常危险的球队，上赛季在西甲(世界第二好的联赛)排名第五，还捧起了国王杯(西班牙杯)的奖杯!下半场芬兰人和客队在水平上的巨大差距可以很清楚地看到，贝蒂斯控制了球场上的一切——这是人造草坪。HJK显然受益于人造草皮，2014年他们甚至在同一座球场主场击败了都灵和哥本哈根。然而，在奥林匹克球场，比赛当然是在天然草地上进行的。在欧足联的俱乐部比赛中，芬兰的主场优势是巨大的，芬兰队几乎从未在客场扳回一城。罗马吵闹的球迷肯定会推动球队继续进攻，即使比分是2-0或者3-1。上赛季HJK在奥地利和以色列的联赛中表现非常糟糕。虽然他们在亚美尼亚击败了一支非常糟糕的球队阿拉什科特，但他们在这场比赛中非常幸运。罗马以1-2输给了保加利亚的卢多戈雷茨队，但他们理应获得一场胜利。他们一定是被损失惹恼了，很有可能会在这里报复。他们以至少3球之差获胜的几率为59%。港汉将失去主力前锋拉杜洛维奇，这让他们很受伤，