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A confident pick in Spanish Cup!

2021-01-27

比赛分析

主队巴列卡诺LOGO

巴列卡诺

西班牙杯

已完赛

星期四2021-01-28 04:00

客队巴萨LOGO

巴萨

解读理由

Ignore the handicap shown here. Barcelona asian handicap -1.5 is my bet for this match.

Rayo Vallecano is an average side from the 2nd division. They are focused in their league, fighting for a playoff spot. They have problems for this match, as coach Iraola has many absences and other players are tired due to the huge amount of matches played in the recent weeks.

Velázquez, Pozo (injured this weekend) and Óscar Valentín (long term injury) are out, but also other players have covid. So far we only know one name - Miguel Morro, but it is known as well that there’re more players. Others have small injuries and need rest.

Rayo Vallecano has a short squad, not ready to play at 100% three games per week. In the previous rounds in Spanish Cup, they won against very weak sides like Elche (with many reserves) and Haro Deportivo (amateur team). For tomorrow, rotations are expected in the lineup.

Furthermore, the team has internal problems. Players from the first team made an official announcement one week ago telling that the club has debts with them, some salaries are unpaid and are angry with the president. The announcement was also a public and official request to president to leave the club.

On the other hand, Barcelona is one of the main candidates to win the trophy. Of course they will make some rotations, but due to their position in La Liga, the Spanish Cup may help to make the campaign “better” if they win it.

In the previous round they had to play extra-time against Cornella, an almost amateur team. They missed two penalties, but I’m sure they learnt the lesson that they need to improve their performances and avoid play more minutes with this difficult and busy schedule they have upcoming.

This bet is based in the team that Koeman called for the match:

Goalkeepers: Marc-André ter Stegen, Neto, Arnau Tenas

Defenders: Ronald Araújo, Clément Lenglet, Jordi Alba, Samuel Umtiti, Junior Firpo, Óscar Mingueza

Midfielders: Sergio Busquets, Miralem Pjanic, Riqui Puig, Pedri González, Francisco Trincão, Frenkie de Jong, Ilaix Moriba

Strikers: Antoine Griezmann, Martin Braithwaite, Lionel Messi, Ousmane Dembélé

Almost the best lineup. Maybe some reserves, but a very competitive team for sure. Also, the most important fact - Leo Messi is back after two matches suspended, so for sure he will play several minutes.

Rayo Vallecano is much worse side here, but also physically and mentally they aren’t ready to play at 100% this match. Barcelona will put a very strong lineup on the field and should play with motivation after the “warning” in the previous round against Cornella. I’m expecting a comfortable victory for guests here.


巴萨客场-1.5是我本场的选择。

巴列卡诺是西乙级的一支普通球队。他们专注于联赛,为升级席位而战。他们在这场比赛中遇到了一些问题,因为主教练伊拉奥拉有很多缺席,而其他球员由于最近几周的大量比赛而感到疲劳。

维拉兹克斯、波佐(本周末受伤)和瓦伦丁(长期受伤)都缺席了比赛,但其他球员还有一些受到疫情的影响。到目前为止,我们只知道米格尔·莫罗感染,但众所周知,还有更多的球员。其他人受了点小伤,需要休息。

巴列卡诺的阵容深度不足,没有能力一周打三场比赛。在国王杯的前几轮比赛中,他们战胜了实力非常弱的球队,如埃尔切(有很多轮换)和哈罗·拉科里沃(业余队)。明天球队的阵容会再次轮换。

此外,球队内部也存在问题。一周前,一队的球员正式宣布俱乐部欠他们的工资还没付,他们对主席很生气。这一宣布也是向主席提出的一项公开和正式的要求,要求部分球员离开俱乐部。

另一方面,巴塞罗那是夺冠的热门之一。当然他们会进行一些轮换,但是由于他们在西甲的位置,如果他们赢了,国王杯可能回让球队的赛季更好。

在上一轮比赛中,他们不在加时赛中对阵科内拉,一支近乎业余的球队。他们错失了两个点球,但我相信他们从中学到了教训,他们需要提高自己的表现,避免在如此艰难和繁忙的赛程中踢更多的时间。

科曼为比赛召集的球队几乎是最好的阵容。也许会有一些轮换,但肯定是一支非常有竞争力的球队。另外,最重要的事实是梅西在停赛两场之后回归,所以他肯定会打几分钟。

巴列卡诺是一支比较弱的球队,但是他们的身体和精神都没有准备好以最好的状态迎接。在上一轮对阵科内拉的比赛中“警告”过后,巴萨将在赛场上派上非常强大的阵容,应该带着动力上场。我预测客队能轻松获胜。

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