Hobro VS Herfolge Boldklub Koge

Hobro host Koge for this Danish 1st Division Relegation Group round 24 clash at DS Arena early on Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Danish football. Denmark is a great football country – especially for a relatively small country by the number of inhabitants. They made all the way to the semifinals last summer in EURO 2020. The best clubs who play in the Superliga - for example FC Copenhagen and Midtjylland - are pretty good clubs by European standards and have even made it to the Champions League group stage but the level of 1st Division is not very high. This match will not offer high-quality entertainment for football fans but is interesting betting-wise and that’s, of course, the most important thing for my fans and me! I expect a pretty cautious, defensive strategy from the host even at home as Koge are very dangerous opponent and also have a pretty solid defense are very dangerous on counterattacks if the opponent attacks too aggressively. Even one point might satisfy the hosts.. Visitors are undoubtedly the better teams by raw class and have potential for improvement, especially offensively. However, at the moment defense is the area where Koge are definitely better than Hobro. They are also a more balanced team and have a better structure in the midfield. Taking home advantage into account - which is not very big here - I see this match as a coin toss ( 50-50%) which means that my fans and I have 65% chance of winning the bet on Koge with the +0.5 goals handicap option.

The stakes are indeed high as relegation would be a major disappointment for both teams here. There are 6 teams in this group and the teams who place 5th and 6th are relegated later this spring. The rock-bottom team Jammerbugt are seriously bad, and most probably nothing will save them as they only have 16 points and have lost a big number of matches in a row. However, F. Amager with 21 points are a dangerous opponent for both especially for Hobro who have just 23 points to their account. Koge have grabbed 28 points and also have much better goal difference than the hosts. Hobro have achieved good result lately but not have been quite as convincing on the pitch as the final scores would suggest.. The have now played 2 draws in a row and before that they took 3 wins. As a result of the respectable results, they have become over-rated on the betting market and in Danish football media. These teams actually met a month ago and Hobro took a lucky 1-0 home win. However, Koge had 73% ball possession, much more goal attempts, completed passes and dangerous attacks! Hobro’s midfielder Matthias Nygaard did receive a red card in the second half though which of course hurt the hosts. This is the only loss for Koge in their most recent 5 games.

北京时间周六凌晨，Hobro 在 DS Arena 举办丹麦 1 级保级组第 24 轮比赛。这是丹麦足球的第二梯队。丹麦是一个伟大的足球国家——尤其是对于一个人口相对较小的国家而言。去年夏天，他们一路杀入了 2020 年欧洲杯的半决赛。参加超级联赛的最佳俱乐部——例如哥本哈根足球俱乐部和中日德兰俱乐部——按照欧洲标准来说都是相当不错的俱乐部，甚至还进入了欧冠小组赛阶段，但第一师的水平不是很高。这场比赛不会为球迷提供高质量的娱乐，但在投注方面很有趣，这当然是我和我的球迷最重要的事情！即使在主场，我也希望东道主采取非常谨慎的防守策略，因为 Koge 是非常危险的对手，而且如果对手进攻过于激进，他们的防守也非常稳固，在反击时非常危险。甚至一分可能会让东道主满意.. 客队无疑是原始级别更好的球队，并且有改进的潜力，尤其是在进攻端。但是，目前防守是Koge绝对比Hobro更好的区域。他们也是一支更加平衡的球队，并且在中场有更好的结构。考虑到主场优势 - 这在这里不是很大 - 我将这场比赛视为抛硬币（50-50%），这意味着我和我的球迷有 65% 的机会在 +0.5 进球让分的情况下赢得对 Koge 的赌注选项。

价值确实很高，因为降级对这里的两支球队来说都是一个很大的失望。该组有6支球队，排名第5和第6的球队将在今年春季晚些时候降级。垫底的球队 Jammerbugt 非常糟糕，很可能没有什么能拯救他们，因为他们只有 16 分并且连续输掉了大量比赛。然而，得到 21 分的 F. Amager 对双方来说都是一个危险的对手，尤其是对于只有 23 分的 Hobro指向他们的帐户。 Koge 已经拿到了 28 分，而且净胜球也比东道主好得多。霍布罗最近取得了不错的成绩，但在球场上的表现并不像最终比分所暗示的那样令人信服。他们现在已经连续打了 2 场平局，在此之前他们取得了 3 场胜利。由于可观的成绩，他们在博彩市场和丹麦足球媒体上被高估了。这些球队实际上在一个月前相遇，霍布罗在主场以 1-0 幸运获胜。然而，Koge 拥有 73% 的控球率、更多的进球尝试、完成的传球和危险的进攻！ Hobro 的中场球员 Matthias Nygaard 在下半场确实收到了一张红牌，但这当然伤害了东道主。这是科格最近5场比赛中唯一的失利。