Braga vs Rangers

Braga host Rangers for this UEFA Europa League quarter finals b battle at Estádio Municipal de Braga early Friday morning Beijing time. The stakes are high and I expect a fine match to watch for football fans with many goals! The top teams in Liga Portugal especially Porto, Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, but also Braga, play beautiful, offensive and overall high-level football! Both Sporting and Benfica qualified from the group stage in the Champions League and Benfica are still competing among the best teams on the planet! They faced Liverpool just this Tuesday. Last season Porto went all the way to quarter finals in the Champions League but Chelsea beat them 2-1 on aggregate. The level of Portuguese top teams is something I want to explain to my fans! Portuguese teams are often under-valued in international club competitions.

I posted a pick on Braga +1 for their most recent match against Benfica and they won 3-2. An excellent performance despite Benfica having 62% ball possession. Braga had more goal attempts in this clash. They do not have any super stars in the team which is probably one of the reasons behind the under-valuation on the betting market. They also do not really have a chance to qualify for Champions League as the top 3 in Liga Portugal are clearly better and have much more money to spend on players and get a lot of more media attention. I am pretty sure many football fans do not know how good a team Braga are! They are definitely not a small club though by financial resources and their player’s total market value is, according to Transfermarkt.com, 113.50 million euros, which is too low in my opinion though! I would say the fair value is 125-130 million.

Portugal is a great football country and their national team, once again, qualified for the World Cup! It will be played in Qatar later this year Portugal defeated North Macedonia 2-0 in the last round of qualification. Typically for Portuguese football lovers, Braga’s fans are passionate about their team and the atmosphere against a strong, international opponent is going to be great today at the stadium! The home advantage is always big in international club competitions. Moreover, the level of Liga Portugal is much higher than that of the Scottish Premiership! Rangers will most probably not even win it – they just lost to the top team in this league – Celtic – 1-2 at home. Their very important striker Colombian Alfredo Morelos, 25, is injured and will miss this match. A huge blow for Rangers as their manager recently said! By raw class I see the hosts as a better team than Rangers. As I have written before, Scottish teams are very often over-valued in international competitions. This is the case once again here as well! Yes, I am of course aware that Rangers did defeat Borussia Dortmund in this competition but were not the better team! Dortmund had a very bad day in the first leg amazingly lost 2-4 at home but should have won the match. This does sometimes happen in football as we all know.. In Glasgow it was a 2-2 draw but the visitors created much more goal attempts, completed passes and dangerous attacks. This result has made the betting market to clearly over-value them. They do have a chance against Braga but the Portuguese club have a 51% chance to win this match!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周五凌晨，布拉加将在Estádio举行的欧洲足球联赛四分之一决赛中主场迎战流浪者队。赌注很大，我希望球迷们能看到一场精彩的比赛，进球很多!葡萄牙甲级联赛的顶级球队，尤其是波尔图、本菲卡和里斯本竞技，还有布拉加，踢出了漂亮、进攻和全面高水平的足球!在欧冠小组赛中，本菲卡和竞技队都获得了出线资格，本菲卡仍然是世界上最好的球队之一!他们就在这个星期二面对利物浦。上赛季波尔图一路杀入欧冠四分之一决赛，但切尔西总比分2-1击败了他们。葡萄牙顶级球队的水平是我想向我的球迷解释的!在国际俱乐部比赛中，葡萄牙球队的价值经常被低估。

我对布拉加最近对阵本菲卡的比赛做了一个+1的预测，结果他们3-2赢了。尽管本菲卡有62%的控球率，但这是一场出色的表现。布拉加在这场比赛中有更多的进球机会。他们没有任何超级球星，这可能是博彩市场估值偏低的原因之一。他们也没有机会进入欧冠联赛，因为他们在西甲联赛中排名前三。葡萄牙显然更好，而且有更多的钱花在球员身上，也得到了更多的媒体关注。我敢肯定，很多球迷都不知道布拉加是一支多么优秀的球队!根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，从财力上看，他们绝对不是一家小俱乐部，他们的球员的总市值为1.135亿欧元，不过在我看来这太低了!我认为公允价值是1.25亿到1.3亿。

葡萄牙是一个伟大的足球国家，他们的国家队再一次获得了参加世界杯的资格!今年晚些时候将在卡塔尔举行比赛，葡萄牙队在最后一轮预选赛中以2比0击败了北马其顿队。对于葡萄牙的足球爱好者来说，布拉加的球迷对他们的球队充满热情，今天在球场上对阵强大的国际对手的气氛将会非常棒!在国际俱乐部比赛中，主场优势总是很大的。而且，葡萄牙联赛的水平远远高于苏格兰联赛!流浪者很可能连赢都赢不了——他们刚刚在主场以1-2输给了联赛的领头羊凯尔特人。他们非常重要的前锋哥伦比亚阿尔弗雷多莫雷洛斯，25岁，受伤，将错过这场比赛。就像他们的经理最近说的，这对游骑兵是一个巨大的打击!从原始级别来看，我认为主队比游骑兵更好。正如我以前写过的，苏格兰队在国际比赛中经常被高估。这种情况在这里也再次出现!是的，我当然知道游骑兵在这场比赛中击败了多特蒙德，但不是一支更好的球队!多特蒙德在第一回合的比赛中表现非常糟糕，在主场令人惊讶地以2-4输掉了比赛，但他们本应该赢得比赛。正如我们所知，在足球比赛中有时确实会发生这种情况。在格拉斯哥，虽然是2-2战平，但客队创造了更多的进球机会，完成了传球和危险的进攻。这一结果使得博彩市场明显高估了它们的价值。