Hiroshima Sanfrecce vs Yokohama Marinos

Hiroshima Sanfrecce host Yokohama Marinos for this Japanese J1 League round 7 clash at Edion Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not very high compared to the best league in Europe – such as The English Premier League or The Spanish LaLiga but in comparison to many leagues in Asia the level is high. Japan has one of the best football cultures in Asia and their national team has succeeded well at the highest level and did qualify for The World Cup which will take place in Qatar later this year. In the World Cup 2018 they qualified from the group stage and were even close to a big upset qualification against Belgium’s super stars.Most teams play organized, defensive football in this league but today we have an interesting matchup. The hosts play a lot more cautious, defensive football than Yokohama Marinos - often even at home at least - against strong opposition like Yokohama. They would surely want to be more aggressive though and should definitely score more goals and do have the potential to succeed. However, I suspect they might need some time to find more offensive creativity and better structure.. I see a match with lower goal expectancy than the betting market does. Mainly because of the hosts’ style of play but also because Yokohama Marinos are not a great team away from home will probably not be overly aggressive offensively here.. Indeed, they have won just one of their latest 5 away matches in this league. 2 of these 5 were played last season though. The probability if a draw is 30%. This would be enough to bring my fans and myself yet another winner winner betting on Japanese football with the Hiroshima +0.5 goals handicap option! The chance of winning is 67%. The hosts are slim favorites in favorites here. By raw class Yokohama are a little better though.

The standings are somewhat misleading here. Yes, the visitors have indeed played quite well but have also had had some luck on their side, especially against Vissel Kobe on the 2nd of March when they won 2-0. I match they could easily have even lost.. They are currently in the 3th place in the standings. However, the main rationale for this bet is the fact that Hiroshima have not been at their best despite defensing very well. They have allowed just 6 goals – the visitors’ number is 9. They will improve and probably climb up the standings as the season progresses. They have had a lot of bad luck this season and are, as a result, under-rated by the betting market – even pretty heavily in my opinion! On the 26th of March they were clearly the better team against Shimizy Pulse but lost 1-2 despite creating 17 scoring chances – the visitors had 6. They also recorded a lot more shots on target and had 57% ball possession. Before this they lost to a strong team Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 at home, but the match was balanced and the performance was more than okay on the pitch.

北京时间周三晚间，日本 J1联赛第 7 轮比赛将在广岛三箭主场迎战横滨水手。与欧洲最好的联赛（例如英超联赛或西班牙西甲联赛）相比，该联赛的水平不是很高，但与亚洲的许多联赛相比，水平很高。日本拥有亚洲最好的足球文化之一，他们的国家队取得了成功，并且有资格参加今年在卡塔尔举行的世界杯。在 2018 年世界杯上，他们从小组赛中晋级，甚至在对阵比利时的比赛中险些爆冷晋级。大多数球队在这个联赛中都打有组织的防守足球，但今天我们有一场有趣的对决。主队比横滨水手队踢得更谨慎、更保守- 至少在主场也是如此 - 对抗像横滨这样的强大对手。他们肯定会想要更具侵略性，而且绝对应该进更多的球，有成功的潜力。然而，他们可能需要一些时间来找到更多的进攻创造力和更好的结构。进球预期应该会低于市场预估。主要是因为主队的打法，但也因为横滨水手不是一支出色的客场球队，进攻可能不会过于激进。事实上，他们在最近的 5 场客场比赛中只赢了一场。不过，这 5 场比赛中有 2 场是上赛季的。平局的概率是 30%。广岛+0.5 进球让分选项获胜的机会是 67%。主队将是本场的热门。不过，横滨的赛程要好一些。

排名有点误导。是的，客队确实表现得很好，但他们也有一些运气，尤其是3 月 2 日，对阵神户胜利船以 2-0 获胜。我认为他们甚至会输掉比赛。他们目前在积分榜上排名第三。广岛防守很好，并没有达到最佳状态。他们只丢了 6 个球——客队的进球数是 9 个。随着赛季的进行，他们会有所进步，并且可能会在积分榜上攀升。他们本赛季运气不佳，因此被市场低估了——在我看来非常严重！ 3 月 26 日，他们在对阵清水时显然是更好的球队，但尽管创造了 17 次得分机会，但还是以 1-2 输掉了比赛——客队只有 6 次。他们还有更多的射门机会，并且拥有 57% 的控球率。在此之前，他们在主场0-2负于强队川崎前锋，但比赛很平衡，场上表现也不错。预测广岛不败。