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Who will qualify to the 1/2 finals?

2022-04-05

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2022-04-06 03:00

解读理由

Too high line here, but I see it interesting.

It’s a miracle to see Benfica here. They were very lucky against Ajax with the victory in the second game 0:1, conceding 16 shots, having only 31% possession and scoring the winning goal in the last minutes with only 0.41 xG (expected goals).

They are so far from their rivals in the Portuguese league (Porto, Sporting CP), sitting 3rd and more than 10 points below. Have a very weak defense, and against strong attacks they suffer a lot as we saw against Bayern Munich where they lost 0:4 and 5:2.

On the other hand, Liverpool is the main reason for this pick. They are in excellent form, maybe the best I have seen them ever. Are fighting for the Premier League title with Manchester City, and made very convincing performances in the Champions League.

Diogo Jota makes goals easily, Fabinho is in top form, Arnold is the top assist man in the Premier League, and the team is playing with high pace and quality. Several key players were rested at the weekend (Luis Diaz, Mane, Fabinho and Trent Alexander Arnold) so they will be at 100% today.

Benfica isn’t a team who makes a high pressure. Today, even playing at home, they will play a defensive game which isn’t a good deal against a team like Liverpool.

This is the most unequal game I see in this round, seeing the level of both teams. Liverpool destroyed Porto (who is a much better team than Benfica) 1:5 in Portugal and 2:0 at home, when they were even at worse level as they are right now.

In all positions Liverpool is much better than Benfica, especially in the midfield where they will be able to easily dominate the match. In attack, I see them able to create chances due to their high pace and fresh legs plus the old/slow central back that Benfica has (Vertonghen and Otamendi), while surely will score them thanks to the quality they have upfront.

Fighting for the Premier League title, Liverpool should try to win with the higher possible difference here to “rest” or at least not be forced to play at 200% in the second game, using that energy in the league.

I’m not worried either about the home factor due to the good performances I saw by Liverpool playing away this year in the Champions League, where they won all away games and beat strong sides like Atletico Madrid, Milan, Porto and Inter Milan, scoring at least two goals in all of them.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这让球太多了,但我觉得很有趣。

能在这里见到本菲卡真是个奇迹。他们非常幸运,在第二场比赛中0:1战胜了阿贾克斯,失球16次,控球率只有31%,最后几分钟以0.41 xG(预期进球)攻入制胜一球。

他们与葡萄牙联赛的对手波尔图(Porto, Sporting CP)相距甚远,排在第三位,比他们低10分以上。他们的防守非常薄弱,面对强大的进攻,他们遭受了很多,就像我们在对阵拜仁慕尼黑时看到的那样,他们0:4和5:2输掉了比赛。

另一方面,利物浦是这个选择的主要原因。他们的状态很好,也许是我见过的最好的。正在和曼城争夺英超冠军,并在冠军联赛中取得了令人信服的表现。

迪奥戈·约塔进球轻松,法比尼奥状态极佳,阿诺德是英超最佳助攻球员,球队踢得速度和质量都很高。几个关键球员在周末休息了(路易斯·迪亚兹,马尼,法比尼奥和特伦特·亚历山大·阿诺德),所以他们今天将是100%。

本菲卡不是一支能给人很大压力的球队。今天,即使是在主场,他们也会打一场防守的比赛,这对像利物浦这样的球队来说并不是一件好事。

这是我在这轮比赛中看到的最不平等的比赛,看到两支球队的水平。利物浦在葡萄牙1:5和主场2:0击败了波尔图(比本菲卡强得多),当时他们的水平甚至比现在还差。

在所有的位置上利物浦都比本菲卡强,特别是在中场,他们可以轻松控制比赛。在进攻方面,我认为他们能够创造机会,因为他们的高速度和新鲜的腿脚,加上本菲卡拥有的老而慢的中卫(维尔通亨和奥塔曼迪),同时由于他们的前场素质,他们肯定会得分。

为英超冠军而战,利物浦应该努力以更高的差距来“休息”,或者至少不要在第二场比赛中被迫打200%的比赛,在联赛中使用这种能量。

家庭因素我也不担心由于良好的表现我在利物浦打了今年欧冠,他们赢得了所有的客场比赛,击败强队像马德里竞技,波尔图和国米,米兰得分至少有两个目标。

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