Troyes vs Reims

Troyes host Reims at Stade de l'Aube for this French Ligue 1 clash Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the 5th best league in Europe and offers high-level football, good entertainment and fine individuals. Even Leo Messi and Neymar play in this league, for PSG. This league is, however, clearly more low scoring than especially The German Bundesliga or even The English Premier League. The market estimates that the goal expectancy low here but I expect a super low-scoring match. The probability of a draw is 34%. This would bring my fans and myself a winner with the +0.5 goals handicap bet on Reims. Both teams play very defensive football. Troyes is even more defensive and rarely play aggressive football even at their own stadium, which is quite unusual.. Their fans seem to accept this stretegy as they are a pretty small and limited team after all. Surely they do not have the best forwards for this league, not even close, but are still not hopelessly bad in attacking. We must still realize that they have not scored more than one goal in any of their latest 5 home matches! The home advantage is on average big in France - both in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2, but varies a lot between the teams. Troyes do not seem to perform well in front of their fans..

Troyes are a worse team than the standings reflect. They currently occupy the 15th place. In my power ratings Lorient, Clermont Foot and even Saint-Etienne are better teams by raw class then Troyes. All these 3 teams are now behind today's hosts in the standings. The problems they have in attacking are indeed serious. They create a decent number of chances, but the offensive players just lack the skill and self-confidence for this level to actually net the ball! Reims have not lost any of their latest 5 matches despite facing traditional, big and improving teams Lyon and Monaco lately. They are currently in the 12th place in the standings are undoubtedly the better team here. They have had some bad luck during this season and would have deserved a few more points according to expected points statistic. I do not see a favorite in this match, meaning that we have high chance of winning the handicap bet!

北京时间周日晚间，特鲁瓦将在奥布体育场迎战兰斯，参加法甲联赛的比赛。这是欧洲排名第 5 的最佳联赛，提供高水平的足球、良好的娱乐和优秀的个人。就连梅西和内马尔也在这个联赛中为巴黎圣日耳曼效力。然而，这个联赛的得分明显低于德甲联赛甚至英超联赛。市场估计这里的进球期望值很低，但我预计这是一场超级低分的比赛。平局的概率是 34%。这将给我的球迷和我自己带来一个赢家，他们在兰斯投注 +0.5 球让分盘。两支球队都踢得很防守的足球。特鲁瓦更加防守，即使在他们自己的球场也很少踢出侵略性的足球，这很不寻常。他们的球迷似乎接受了这种策略，因为他们毕竟是一支非常小而且有限的球队。当然，他们没有联盟中最好的前锋，甚至没有接近，但在进攻方面仍然不是无可救药的糟糕。我们还必须意识到他们在最近 5 场主场比赛中的任何一场比赛都没有进过一个球！在法国，主场优势平均很大——无论是在法甲联赛还是法甲联赛中，但球队之间的差异很大。特鲁瓦似乎在他们的粉丝面前表现不佳。

特鲁瓦是一支比积分榜所反映的更糟糕的球队。他们目前占据第15位。在我的实力评级中，洛里昂、克莱蒙富特甚至圣艾蒂安都是比特鲁瓦更好的球队。这三支球队现在在积分榜上都落后于今天的东道主。他们在进攻上的问题确实很严重。他们创造了相当多的机会，但进攻球员只是缺乏这种水平的技术和自信来真正将球击入球门！尽管最近面对传统的、强大的和进步的球队里昂和摩纳哥，兰斯在最近的 5 场比赛中没有输掉任何一场。他们目前在积分榜上排在第12位，无疑是这里更好的球队。他们在这个赛季遇到了一些坏运气并且根据预期的分数统计应该得到更多的分数。我在这场比赛中没有看到赢球，这意味着选择兰斯不败很有可能赢得让分！