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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The winning streak continues? 德甲弗赖堡VS拜仁

2022-04-02

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2022-04-02 21:30

解读理由

SC Freiburg VS Bayern Munchen

Freiburg welcome Bayern Munich at Europa-Park Stadion for this German Bundesliga round 28 clash Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third best league in the world and offers high-class, often quite entertaining football for football fans. The stakes are high for both teams here! Bayern top the standings with 63 points and will almost certainly, once again, lift the trophy at the end of the season. Borussia Dortmund are 6 points behind but I do not see them having the tools to really challenge the dominant force in Bundesliga and Bayern probably realize this too.. Indeed, Bayern are of course clear favorites to win this match. The probability is 58%. However, Freiburg will surely fight extremely hard here in front of their loud fans. It has been a great season for Freiburg, by far the best in many years! I have increased their power rating, that illustrates the teams’ overall class, many times as the season has progressed. The are currently in the 5th place with 45 points, the same number of points Leipzig in the gth place have. Indeed, Freiburg have a genuine chance of qualifying for The Champions League for next season! That would be a dream come true for Freiburg. Freiburg have an excellent defense and have conceded just 29 goals so far. This is a lot less than Dormund, Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig have allowed! Bayern have conceded 29 goals. Offensively Freiburg are not quite as dangerous as the other top teams though. They have a 65% chance of avoid a losing this by more than one goal’s difference. This would bring my fans and myself yet another winner with the Freiburg +1.5 goals handicap option.

One of the best players in the world, an amazing goal scorer, Polish Robert Lewandowski, has a ribs injury and at the time of writing this is not clear whether he will be able to play are not.. Missing him would be a major blow for the visitors! Joshua Kimmich is also doubtful due to personal reasons. Freiburg have lost just one of their latest matches and even this loss was only 0-1 away from home against Köln.. Bayern have won 6 of their latest 10 matches and have looked a little vulnerable in defense in many matches. They are not as at the moment as they have been in 2 or 3 previous seasons. They also have a super-important Champions League match on Wednesday against Spanish Villarreal, so some squad rotating could happen here.. Trying to save energy – especially if Bayern lead by one goal’s difference - as well as avoiding injuries must also play a role here! Lastly, I want to highlight that Freiburg have not been lucky this season in terms of expected points, they have really earned the great results! A fine match to watch expected here!

Good luck!


北京时间周六晚上,弗赖堡在欧罗巴球场欢迎拜仁慕尼黑参加德甲第 28 轮比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛,为球迷提供高水平、通常非常有趣的足球。两支球队的赌注都很高!拜仁以 63 分高居积分榜榜首,几乎可以肯定,他们将在赛季末再次举起奖杯。多特蒙德队落后 6 分,但我认为他们没有能力真正挑战德甲联赛的主导力量,拜仁也可能意识到这一点。事实上,拜仁当然是赢得这场比赛的最大热门。概率为 58%。然而,弗莱堡肯定会在他们大声的球迷面前拼命拼搏。对于弗莱堡来说,这是一个伟大的赛季,是多年来最好的赛季!随着赛季的进行,我多次提高了他们的功率等级,这说明了球队的整体水平。目前以 45 分排在第 5 位,排在第 g 位的莱比锡积分相同。的确,弗莱堡有真正的机会获得下赛季的欧冠资格!这对弗莱堡来说将是梦想成真。弗莱堡的防守非常出色,到目前为止只丢了 29 个球。这比多蒙德、勒沃库森和莱比锡允许的要少得多!拜仁已经丢了29个球。不过,在进攻端,弗莱堡并不像其他顶级球队那样危险。他们有 65% 的机会避免因超过一球的差距而输掉这场比赛。这将给我的球迷和我自己带来另一个胜利者,弗莱堡 +1.5 进球让分选项。

世界上最好的球员之一,一个了不起的射手,波兰人罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基,肋骨受伤,在撰写本文时,尚不清楚他是否能够上场。错过他将是一个重大打击为游客!由于个人原因,Joshua Kimmich 也持怀疑态度。弗莱堡最近一场比赛只输了一场即使这场失利只是客场0-1不敌科隆。拜仁在最近10场比赛中赢了6场,在很多比赛中看起来防守有些脆弱。他们现在不像前两个或三个赛季那样。他们在周三对阵西班牙比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中也有一场超级重要的欧冠比赛,所以这里可能会发生一些阵容轮换。试图节省能量——尤其是如果拜仁以一球之差领先——以及避免受伤也必须在这里发挥作用!最后,我想强调一下,弗莱堡本赛季在预期积分方面并不走运,他们确实取得了不错的成绩!一场精彩的比赛值得期待!

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