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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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6th winner in a row? 英冠布莱克浦VS诺丁汉

2022-04-02

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期六2022-04-02 19:30

解读理由

Blackpool vs Nottingham Forest

Blackpool host Nottingham Forest at Bloomfield Road for this English Championship round 40 clash Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second highest level of English football and offers surprisingly classy and entertaining football. Some teams, especially Fulham, who currently top the standings, could even do reasonably well in the Premier League.. This is a physically demanding league but especially the top teams have some skilled individuals too. Today I recommend my fans to watch especially Blackpool’s Gary Madine whose four previous five goals have proven crucial in Blackpool’s victories. The visitor’s full-back Djed Spence is definitely one of the biggest breakthrough players of this Championship season, contributing to goals in three of Forest’s last four victories. Both teams have quite a few a few missing players from this match. For the hosts Anderson, Carey, Garbutt, Keogh, Maxwell, Virtue-Thick and Ward are reported injured. The visitors are, also due to injuries, missing Cook, Grabban, Lowe and McKenna. In my opinion the betting market has over-reacted to the ling list of the hosts’ absentees and sees the visitors as solid favorites. In my opinion the match is a coin toss (a 50/50 match) without a favorite. This means the +0.5 goals handicap bet offers my fans and myself a 65% chance of winning! We have done well betting on this league before!

Both teams are in fine form at the moment! The visitors are definitely the better team by raw class but not by a wide margin. However, let’s remember that the home advantage is substantial here. Blackpool have won 6 of their latest home games. The visitors, on the other hand, have won just 2 of their latest 10 away matches. In their most recent match the lost to Liverpool, which is of course understandable as Liverpool are, in my opinion, the second-best team on the planet. They did play well on the 16th of March and beat a good team QPR 2-1. In the two matches before the Liverpool and QPR games the final score clearly flatters them and must be one of the reasons for the over-valuation here. The beat Reading as big favorites 4-0 at home but the match was much more balanced on the pitch than the 4-0 would suggest. Against Huddersfield in FA 1/8 finals, they won 2-1 but I would say a draw would have been a justified result after 90 minutes of play.


北京时间周六晚上,布莱克浦将在布卢姆菲尔德路主场迎战诺丁汉森林,参加英冠第 40 轮比赛。这是英格兰足球的第二高水平,提供令人惊讶的优雅和有趣的足球。一些球队,尤其是目前排名第一的富勒姆,甚至可以在英超联赛中表现出色。这是一个对体力要求很高的联赛,但尤其是顶级球队也有一些技术娴熟的人。今天我建议我的球迷们特别关注布莱克浦的加里·马丁,他的前四个五个进球被证明对布莱克浦的胜利至关重要。客队边后卫杰德·斯彭斯绝对是本赛季英冠最大的突破球员之一,在森林队最近四场胜利中贡献了三球。本场比赛,两队都有不少球员缺席。据报道,东道主安德森、凯里、加布特、基奥、麦克斯韦、美德和沃德都受伤了。游客们也因受伤,想念库克、格拉班、洛威和麦肯纳。在我看来,市场对东道主的缺席名单反应过度,并认为访客是最受欢迎的。在我看来,这场比赛是抛硬币(50/50 的比赛),没有热门的球队。这意味着 +0.5 目标让分盘投注为我的粉丝和我自己提供了 65% 的获胜机会!我们之前在这个联赛上的赌注做得很好!

目前两队状态都很好!从原始级别来看,客队绝对是更好的球队,但差距不大。但是,让我们记住,这里的主场优势是巨大的。布莱克浦最近赢得了 6 场主场比赛。另一方面,客队在最近的 10 场客场比赛中只赢了 2 场。在他们最近的比赛中输给了利物浦,这当然是可以理解的,因为在我看来,利物浦是这个星球上第二好的球队。他们在 3 月 16 日的比赛中表现出色,并以 2-1 击败了一支优秀的球队女王公园。在利物浦和QPR比赛前的两场比赛中最终的分数显然让他们很受宠若惊,一定是这里高估的原因之一。在主场以 4-0 击败雷丁成为大热门,但比赛在球场上比 4-0 所暗示的要平衡得多。在 FA 1/8 决赛中对阵哈德斯菲尔德,他们以 2-1 获胜,但我想说,在 90 分钟的比赛之后,平局将是一个合理的结果。

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