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葡萄牙人,全职从事体育行业多年,被誉为全世界掌握巴西足球信息最多的人。
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High confidence!! 12中10 捷甲 布杰约维采vs兹林

2022-04-02

比赛分析

捷甲

已完赛

星期六2022-04-02 22:00

解读理由

I don't understand this odd close to par and let's take advantage of it. It must have been around 1.75.

Ceske is slightly superior to Zlin in technical quality, they are having an amazing championship and dream of a place in the top 6 to compete in the championship round and with that get a place to access European competitions. Zlin on the other hand is struggling to escape the relegation playoff. Playing on a neutral field I thought the -0.25 was fair for Ceske at 1.9 due to the difference in technical quality and tactical superiority.

The point is that the home factor here is very important. Ceske is a very homely team and it is in their stadium that they can be very strong. When they playing away can't play good football and have 0 wins, so to get this surprising position in the leaderboard is due to the home factor. There are 8 victories in 13 games, against the teams at the bottom of the table they don't make it easy, they manage to involve the opponent and come out with the victory. Zlin has the same problem as them, playing away is very weak and lost 8 out of 12 games.

Ceske is stronger than Zlin and has the home factor in his favor, where they are very strong and where Zlin has difficulties. I don't understand this 50% favoritism only, they are much more favorites for this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

切斯克在技术水平上略优于Zlin,他们拥有一个令人惊叹的冠军,并梦想着进入前6名的冠军轮,这样他们就有了进入欧洲赛场的机会。另一方面,Zlin正在努力摆脱降级季后赛。在中立场地上,我认为-0.25对于Ceske来说是公平的1.9,因为技术质量和战术优势的差异。

重点是,在这里,主场因素非常重要。塞斯克是一支非常本土的球队,在他们的球场里,他们可以变得非常强大。当他们在客场的时候,他们踢得不好,并且0胜0负,所以他们能在排行榜上占据如此令人惊讶的位置是因为主场因素。他们在13场比赛中取得了8场胜利,对阵积分榜垫底的球队时,他们很难取胜,他们设法让对手参与进来,最终取得了胜利。Zlin也有同样的问题,他在客场的表现很弱,12场比赛输了8场。

切斯克比齐林更强,而且他有主场优势,在那里他们非常强大,而齐林有困难。

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