I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on Avispa rasied a lot, but now we can see reverse of that trend. In last an hour odds on hosts slashed down by 0.14 on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with that.

Avispa coming for this game with the strongest possible line up, on the other hand Sagan is without two important players: defender Seok-Ho and midfielder Shimakawa (both already played in 3 matches).

To be honest I'm very surprised by those odds. Both teams are on very similar level - after 5 rounds Avispa have 6 points, Sagan have one point more. Both teams are very good at the back - Avispa keep 2 clean sheets, Sagan one more, but without any shadow of doubt Avispa is much more convincing team upfront. In current season they have 21 shots on target (4.2 per game), Sagan is the worst team in that department in whole league (10 shots, only 2 per game). It's big difference.

In addition to that Avispa in 2021 played twice against Sagan Tosu at home and recorded two very comfortable wins: 4:1 in League Cup and 3:0 in J League. They have huge mental advantage before this game.

I fully agree with late market movement. Odds on Avispa are simply too high.