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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting game in Argentina!

2022-04-01

比赛分析

主队科隆竞技LOGO

科隆竞技

阿甲

已完赛

星期五2022-04-01 08:30

客队阿尔多斯维LOGO

阿尔多斯维

解读理由

Colon de Santa vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Colon de Santa Fe host Aldosivi Mar del Plata for this Copa De La Profesional round 8 clash at Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López Friday morning Beijing time. Typically for this league – and similarly to many other leagues in South America - the goal expectancy here is low. It is bigger than in this league on average though, but smaller than the betting market and many football analysts think.. The probability of a draw is 27%. Even though Copa De La Liga Profesional is a relatively low-level league on average by world standards, Argentina is still an amazingly rich football country. This sport is clearly the most popular one in the country and fans are enthusiastic. However, Colon de Santa Fe do not have the best fans, but of course the home advantage is still there. The hosts are definitely better by raw class. They are also a much bigger team by financial resources. However, Aldosivi are better as a team than the team’s players’ total market value on Transfermarkt.com would indicate! Especially left-winger Braian Martinez, 22, with the market value of 350 000 euros is under-valued! The smart bettor’s choice here is under-valued by the betting market Aldosivi with the +0.5 goals handicap. The probability of winning is 43%. I expect Aldosivi to be forced to defend here and would probably be happy with a draw. Their defense has worked well recently, and they have allowed just 3 goals in their 5 most recent matches.

A significant number of the biggest clubs in the world have their scouts watching Argentinian and other South American promising youngsters - especially offensive players that play in the two groups of Copa De la Liga Profesional. The hosts have some talented, followed by the media players in their squad but many of them as not quite as good as their market value or reputation would suggest and the club seems to often get too much respect on the betting market. Colon de Santa Fe are currently in the 4th place with 12 points and the visitors have just 2 points less and are in the 5th place in the standings. They have four missing players today but the betting market seems to have over-reacted to this. The host are missing 2 playrs. In their most recent match, the visitors took a solid 3-1 home win over Patronato. Before this they beat Tigre 1-0. The hosts, on the other hand, have not won any of their latest 3 matches..


科隆竞技将在北京时间周五早上在 Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López球场出战第 8 轮比赛。通常对于这个联赛 - 与南美的许多其他联赛类似 - 这里的目标预期进球很低。平均而言,平局的概率是 27%。尽管从世界标准来看,阿甲联赛是一个平均水平相对较低的联赛,但阿根廷仍然是一个非常富有的足球国家。这项运动显然是该国最受欢迎的运动,球迷们也很热情。不过,科隆竞技没有最好的球迷,但主场优势当然还是有的。主队是更好的一方,他们在财力上也是一个更好的球队队。然而,阿尔多斯维作为一个团队 Transfermarkt.com 上的总市值要更高!尤其是22岁的左翼球员布雷安-马丁内斯,身价35万欧元,被低估了!选择阿尔多斯维 +0.5。获胜的概率是 43%。我预计阿尔多西维将被迫进行,并且可能会对平局感到高兴。他们的防守最近表现不错,最近5场比赛只丢了3个球。

世界上许多最大的俱乐部都有他们的球探观察阿根廷和其他南美有前途的年轻人——尤其是在职业联赛中踢球的进攻球员。主队有一些才华横溢的球员,但他们中的许多人并没有他们的市场价值或声誉所展示的那么好,而且俱乐部似乎经常在市场上得到太多的尊重。科隆竞技目前以 12 分排名第 4 位,客队仅仅比赛他们少了2分,在积分榜上排名第五。他们今天有四名球员缺席,但市场似乎对此反应过度。主队缺少 2 名球员。在他们最近的一场比赛中,客队以 3-1 的比分战胜了帕特罗纳托。在此之前,他们以 1-0 击败了泰格勒。另一方面,主队在最近的3场比赛中没有赢过任何一场。预测阿尔多斯维不败。

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