Colo Colo vs Union La Calera

Colo Colo welcome Union La Calera for this Chilean Primera division round 8 clash at Estadio Monumental David Arellano in Santiago de Chilen. Chile’s national team has been in decline in recent years and failed to make it to the World Cup in Qatar later this year. The level of this league is not very high either and most teams play pretty defensive and well-organized football. For example in Argentina, another South American country, the Boca Junior’s players' total market value is 99.70 million euros according to a respected German website Transfermarkt.com. However, Colo Colo’s, a big team in Chile, squad's market value is only 17.18 million euros. I would say even this is too high! There are at least four over-valued players in the team. The best example is midfielder Esteban Pavez, who is valued at 1.50 million euros. The fair total market value, in my opinion, is just 14.30 million. As for Union La Calera the number is 8.98 million, but at least three players are under-valued. The fair number would be 10.40 million. Indeed, Colo Colo are definitely the better team here by raw class and are also higher in the standings at the moment – in the second place with 14 points. The have a 63% chance of winning the match. The visitors have currently occupy the 11th place with 7 points in the bank. However, we must remember that they have not lost any of their latest 6 matches! They have a 62% chance to avoid losing by more than 1 goal’s difference here. Union La Calera +1.5 goals handicap is a solid bet for my fans and myself to extend a good run!

Colo Colo are definitely over-rated by the betting market here. The main reason for this probably their heavy 5-0 win in their most recent match, away from home over Palestino as quite big favorites. They were the better team, yes, but the 5-0 final score is very misleading indeed. Palestino had 54% ball possession, and more completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they beat a lowly team Antofagasta 1-0 away from home again as pretty big favorites. Union La Calera have a very solid, well-organized defense and have allowed just 7 goals so far. In their most recent 5 matches they have conceded just 1 goal! They would need to be more creative offensively, and I do believe they will improve in that area as the season progresses. However, today I expect them to choose a cautious, defensive strategy here against a dangerous opponent.