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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Very strong value in MLS tonight!

2022-03-26

比赛分析

主队夏洛特FCLOGO

夏洛特FC

美职足

已完赛

星期日2022-03-27 05:00

客队辛辛那提LOGO

辛辛那提

解读理由

In my opinion Cincinnati have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Charlotte is new club in MLS and they simply needs time to find the rhythm, to have chemistry in the team and automatic patterns in their game. Cincinnati is well-known, consolidated team and in my eyes this is extremely big advantage for them.

Cincinnati also is in better form at the moment, they won last two consecutive matches. In last round they recorded very vital 3:1 win at home against Miami and that was fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Cincinnati 2.46, for Miami 1.44 (Miami scored from penalty kick). Brandon Vazquez is in awesome form - 4 goals and 1 assist in last two matches, he will be very hard to stop for Charlotte not fully adjusted yet defensive formation. Charlotte in all 4 matches in current season had expected goals conceded number above 1.65. After 3 consecutive losses, in last round they won at home against New England, but that wasn't fully deserved result: expected goals scored for New England 1.81, for Charlotte 1.27.

Charlotte have serious squad problems before today's match. For sure they are without 3 first squad players: defenders Makoun (4 matches) & Hegardt (2 matches) and midfielder Franco (4 matches). In addition to that three other key players are doubtful: defender Armour (1 goal), winger Reyna and best scorer Świderski (2 goals). It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

In those circumstances I don't see hosts as a so big favorite in this game. Value is on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,进攻参考:

在我看来,辛辛那提在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

夏洛特是美国职业足球大联盟的新东家,他们只是需要时间来找到节奏,在球队中形成化学反应,在比赛中形成自动模式。辛辛那提是一支知名的、团结的球队,在我看来,这对他们来说是非常大的优势。

辛辛那提现在的状态也比较好,他们连续赢了两场比赛。在上一轮比赛中,他们在主场以3:1的比分战胜了迈阿密热火队,这是一个完全应得的结果:辛辛那提队的预期进球为2.46,迈阿密队的预期进球为1.44(迈阿密从点球中得分)。布兰登-巴斯克斯状态很好——最近两场比赛进了4个球和1个助攻,对于还没有完全调整好防守阵型的夏洛特来说,他是很难被阻止的。夏洛特在本赛季的所有4场比赛中,预期失球数都在1.65以上。在连续三场失利后,上一轮他们在主场战胜了新英格兰队,但这并不是完全应得的结果:新英格兰队的预期进球为1.81,夏洛特队的预期进球为1.27。

夏洛特在今天的比赛之前有严重的阵容问题。可以肯定的是,他们缺少3名主力球员:后卫马孔(4场)和赫加特(2场)以及中场球员弗兰科(4场)。除此之外,其他三名关键球员也不确定:后卫阿玛尔(1球),边锋雷纳和最佳射手Świderski(2球)。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

在这种情况下,我不认为东道主在这场比赛中是一个大热门。价值在于客场。

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