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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More winners from Argentina?

2022-03-23

比赛分析

阿甲

已完赛

星期三2022-03-23 08:30

解读理由

Talleres Cordoba vs Godoy Cruz



Tallereres Cordoba host Godoy Cruz for this Copa De La Liga Profesional round 7 lash at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes Wednesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is surprisingly low on average – especially taking into account how strong Argentina’s national team is! However, there are talented players in this league, and every year many promising guys move to Europe, especially to Spain and Portugal to play at the highest two tiers of each country. The league is overall low-scoring and here a match with probably only 1 or 2 goals is expected as well. The probability of a draw is quite high - 32% in my view. This game will probably not the best match in terms of entertainment value – on the other hand there is not high-level football available today globally, so maybe it is worth watching after all.. At least the match is interesting betting-wise!


The main reasoning behind my analysis on an even normal low-scoring match is the fact that Talleres Cordoba have played extremely cautious, defensive football so far this season. Even before the season started I was of course aware of the fact that they are a not a strong team offensively, but they have scored just one goal in this league so far! They have also allowed just 5 goals though. They will probably not be too aggressive and take big risks here even home. Their self-confidence and atmosphere in the teams seem to be a little at the moment. They have really struggled with poor offensive structure and lack of tempo and creativity in almost all matches this but have had bad luck too in at least two matches and the expected goals number for them is of course more than just 1 goal.. However, I have been disappointed on them as a team so far, and have decreased their power rating that illustrate the teams’ raw class significantly from my pre-season numbers.. The betting market has undoubtedly done the same but not enough in my opinion! The hosts did beat Club A. Guemes in their most recent match 4-0 in 1/32-finals of Copa Argentina, but I would not give this match too much emphasis as the opponent plays in the second tier of Argentinian football, Primera Nacional, and is a very small team in terms of financial resources. Talleres Cordoba have not won any of their matches in Copa De La Liga Profesioanal, the visitors, on the other hand, have played well so far grabbing 8 points. They have won 2 of their 3 latest matches and played one draw. They are a pretty small club by financial resources, which might be one reason behind the under-valuation in the betting market. They are only marginal underdogs here, and betting on them +0.5 goals handicap option is a very good idea for my fans and myself to get another winner from this league!


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

塔列斯·科尔多瓦vs戈多伊·克鲁兹

北京时间周三上午,西班牙科尔多瓦主场迎战科鲁兹,上演西甲联赛第七轮比赛。这个联赛的平均水平令人惊讶的低,特别是考虑到阿根廷国家队的强大!然而,在这个联赛中有很多有天赋的球员,每年都有很多有前途的球员转会到欧洲,特别是西班牙和葡萄牙,在每个国家的最高两级联赛中踢球。整个联赛的得分都很低,一场比赛可能也只有1到2个进球。平局的概率相当高,我认为是32%。就娱乐价值而言,这场比赛可能不是最好的比赛——另一方面,当今世界还没有高水平的足球比赛,所以也许它还是值得一看的。至少这场比赛是有趣的打赌明智!

我对一场普通的低分比赛进行分析的主要原因是,科尔多巴本赛季迄今为止踢得非常谨慎,防守严密。甚至在赛季开始之前,我就知道他们在进攻上不是一支强大的球队,但是到目前为止他们在这个联赛中只进了一个球!不过他们也只让对手进了5球。他们可能不会太激进,甚至在国内也不会冒太大的风险。他们的自信和团队的气氛似乎在此刻有点。在几乎所有的比赛中,他们的进攻结构都很差,缺乏节奏和创造力,但在至少两场比赛中运气也不佳,他们的预期入球数当然不止一个。然而,到目前为止,我对他们作为一支球队感到失望,并降低了他们的实力评级,这表明他们的实力比我的季前赛数据要差得多。博彩市场无疑也做了同样的事情,但在我看来还不够!主机并在他们最近的比赛4 - 0击败俱乐部a Guemes 1/32-finals国王的阿根廷,但我不会给这场比赛太多重视的对手在阿根廷足球的第二层,霹雳马,和是一个非常小的团队而言,金融资源。科尔多巴还没有在西甲联赛中赢得任何一场比赛,而客队,到目前为止表现得很好,拿到了8分。他们最近三场比赛赢了两场,还有一场打成平局。从财政资源来看,他们是一个相当小的俱乐部,这可能是博彩市场估值偏低的原因之一。他们在这里只是边缘的弱者,打赌他们+0.5的进球障碍选项是一个非常好的主意,我的球迷和我自己从这个联赛得到另一个赢家!

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