In my opinion Western have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Melbourne Victory home ground is not so big advantage because this is derby match. One hour drive by car between both teams stadiums so this is not long trip for guests.

Western went unbeaten in 5 consecutive matches against Victory (4 wins in the process), but now they have very bad streak of 3 losses against them. For sure motivation to avoid loss today is on the highest possible level. Western coach Aloisi said: " They're just a derby. You want to win. We're not really looking back and saying 'oh we lost to them' because that's a long time ago and a lot has passed since then."

Western is in very good form for long period. They had streak of 9 consecutive matches without a loss (6 wins in the process) and they scored at least one goal in each game. In last round they lost on away against Sydney and I believe that was cold shower for the team. For sure team have big motivation to bounce back on good track, especially in derby match.

Victory failed to win in last 3 matches in a row and for sure freshness is not on their side. For hosts is already third match in 8 days, for Western is only second in 11 days. It's big difference.

In addition to that Victory have serious squad problems in their offensive formation. Their the best scorer D'Agostino (he scored 7 goals, 33% of Victory goals in current season) is unavailable, same as second-best scorer & third-best assistant Folami (2 goals and 2 assists). In addition to that offensive midfielder Kruse (1 goal and 1 assist) is unavailable, winger Ikonomidis (1 assist) is very doubtful, Victory coach Popovic said: "We have a few out with Robbie unfortunately out and a big question mark over Chris, still. So that's four players that are out of the attack."

In those circumstances I see excellent value on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，西部在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

墨尔本胜利主场没有那么大的优势，因为这是德比赛。一个小时的车程，两队之间的体育场，所以这不是长途旅行的客人。

西部联队在对阵胜利队的5场比赛中保持不败(4胜)，但现在他们连败三场。当然，今天避免损失的动力是最高的。西部教练阿洛伊斯说:“他们只是一场德比。你想赢。我们并没有真正回顾过去，说‘哦，我们输给了他们’，因为那是很久以前的事了，从那以后已经发生了很多事情。”

西部片在很长一段时间内都处于很好的状态。他们已经连续9场比赛没有输(过程中6胜)，并且在每场比赛中至少打进一个球。上一轮他们在客场输给了悉尼队，我相信那对他们来说是一场冷水澡。可以肯定的是，球队有很大的动力回到好的轨道上，特别是在德比比赛中。

在最近的3场比赛中，他们都没有赢得胜利，而且毫无疑问，新鲜感并不在他们的一边。对于东道主来说，这已经是8天内的第三场比赛了，而对于西方来说，这只是11天内的第二场比赛。这是很大的区别。

除此之外，胜利队的进攻阵型也存在严重的问题。他们最好的得分手达戈斯蒂诺(他进了7球，占本赛季胜利队进球数的33%)，第二好的得分手和第三好的助理球员弗拉米(2球2助攻)也不能上场。除了进攻中场克鲁斯(1粒进球1次助攻)不能上场，边锋伊科诺米迪斯(1次助攻)也很值得怀疑，胜利队教练波波维奇说:“我们有几个人缺阵，罗比很不幸地缺阵了，而克里斯仍然是个大问号。”所以有四名球员没有参加比赛。”

在这种情况下，我在客场看到了很好的价值。