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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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4th winner in a row?

2022-03-22

比赛分析

主队西班牙联合LOGO

西班牙联合

智利甲

已完赛

星期二2022-03-22 07:30

客队努布伦斯LOGO

努布伦斯

解读理由

Union Espanola VS Nublense

Union Espanola host Nublense for this Chilean Primera Division round 7 clash at Estadio Santa Laura in Santiago de Chile Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is not top-class by global - or even by South American standards to be quite honest. There are, however, more goals scored than in for example in The Argentinian Copa De La Liga Profesional – a league where we have made good profits with my fans lately. This league does have some talented players who will surely play in big European Leagues in the future though. Primera Division does offer decent entertainment for football fans, but I am afraid we will not see many goals here today.. The quite low expected goals number means a draw is more probable than the betting market thinks. The probability is 30%. This result would bring my fans and myself a a fourth winner in a row with the Nublense +0.5 goals handicap option. The match is, indeed, interesting betting-wise.

Union Espanola have failed to score more than one goal in any of their 5 matches in this league – or against the Copa Sudamericana qualifications finals against Antofagasta for that matter. I did expect them to play pretty defensive football this season but they have still been a disappointment for me this season in terms of offensive performance. Their attacks often lack a clear structure and creativity. They have indeed had pretty high ball possession % in many matches, but struggle to really break the opponent’s defense. They do have room for improvement but I have still lowered their power rating that illustrates the teams’ overall class. They have won 2 of their latest matches in this league but had luck on their side against Curico Unido - it was 1-0 win away from home. Not a convincing performance as a whole in my opinion.. Moreover, Nublense are a tough nut to crack! They have a very organized defense and have not lost any of their 6 matches in this league! They have grabbed 4 wins and surely exceeded my expectations! The betting market, however, keep underestimating them.. The home advantage is of course something we have to take into consideration here but Union Espanola does not have the best home crowd and have, in fact, won just 1 of their latest home matches. The visitors so match better at the moment that they deserve to be narrow favorites even away from home!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周二上午,西班牙联盟在智利圣地亚哥圣劳拉球场迎战努布伦塞,进行智利甲级联赛第七轮比赛。老实说,从全球的标准来看,甚至从南美的标准来看,这个联赛都不是一流的。然而,我们的进球却比诸如阿根廷甲级联赛之类的联赛要多——最近我们在这个联赛中从我的球迷那里赚了不少钱。这个联赛确实有一些有天赋的球员,他们肯定会在未来的欧洲联赛中发挥作用。甲级联赛确实为球迷提供了不错的娱乐,但我担心我们今天在这里不会有很多进球。相当低的预期进球数意味着平局的可能性比博彩市场认为的要大。概率是30%。这个结果将为我和我的球迷带来一个连续第四个胜利,努布伦斯 +0.5确是一场有趣的选择。

西班牙联盟在联赛的5场比赛中都没有进过1个球,在南美杯资格赛决赛中对阵安托法加斯塔的比赛中也没有。我确实期望他们在这个赛季踢出非常好的防守足球,但是他们在进攻表现方面仍然让我失望。他们的攻击往往缺乏清晰的结构和创造力。他们确实在很多比赛中拥有很高的控球率,但很难真正突破对手的防守。他们确实有改进的空间,但我仍然降低了他们的能力评级,这说明了球队的整体水平。他们在最近的联赛中赢下了两场比赛,但在客场1-0战胜库里科的比赛中运气不错。在我看来,这并不是一场令人信服的表演。此外,Nublense是一个棘手的坚果!他们有一个非常有组织的防守,并且在这个联盟的6场比赛中没有输过一场!他们赢了4场,肯定超出了我的预期!然而,博彩市场一直低估他们。主场优势当然是我们必须考虑的因素,但西班牙联盟并没有最好的主场球迷,事实上,他们在最近的一场主场比赛中只赢了一场。客队在这一时刻表现得很好,即使是在客场,他们也应该是最受欢迎的球队。

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