Defensa Y Justicia vs Arsenal de Sarandi

Defensa Y Justicia host Arsenal de Sarandi for this round 7 of Copa De La Liga Profesional at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The goal expectancy on average in the first tier of Argentinian football, as well as in many other top leagues in South America, is normally a lot lower than in top European leagues, like English Premier League or German Bundesliga. This match, however, surely has higher number or expected goals than on average in this league but I still see it as more low scoring than the betting market or many online football analysts online. Yes, the hosts have played pretty offensive football so far. and both scored and conceded quite few goals, but luck has played its role there. I expect the visitors to choose a very defensive approach to this match and they would probably be satisfied with a draw..  I believe they will not take big risks even if they end up trailing by one goal’s difference.. Even though Copa De La Liga Profesional is not a high-level on average by world standards, Argentina is still an amazingly rich football country. This sport is clearly the most popular one in the country and means a lot for Argentinians.

A big number of the biggest clubs in the world have their scouts watching Argentinian and other South American talented young players - especially offensive players - that play in the two groups of Copa De la Liga Profesional. Defensa Y Justicia have some talented players in their team but are definitely over-rated by the betting market as a team. They have simply not been as good as the most recent results would suggest. In their most recent match they grabbed an extremely undeserved win away from home against Argentinos Juniors. The hosts had 12 scoring attempts whereas Justicia Y Defensa had only 4.. Argentinos Juniors also had more completed passes and dangerous attacks. Fans in Argentina are very enthusiastic, even dangerously so sometimes , and violent behavior has sometimes unfortunately taken place. Home advantage is there in this match of course as well, but the hosts do not have the best fans.. Yes, the hosts are undoubtedly the better team and start the match as 55% favorites to win. The are also quite clearly bigger by players’ total market value. However, the +1.5 goals handicap for the visitors is big and has over 70% chance of winning! Arsenal Sarandi are better then the standings suggest and have now played two draws in a row. They have not lost of their latest matches 5 by more than 1 goal’s difference. The hosts, on the other hand, have not covered the -1.5 goals handicap in any match this season!