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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A winner from Belgium?

2022-03-21

比赛分析

比甲

已完赛

星期一2022-03-21 04:00

解读理由

                                           Sint-Truidense VS Beerschot Wilrijk



Sint-Truidense host Beershot Wilrijk for this Jupiler Pro League round 32 clash at Stayen. The match will surely not offer anything special for football fans in terms of entertainment, but it is still interesting betting-wise! Overall level of the this league has been on the rise recently and some matches can be fun to watch. Despite the fact that it is in general of course nowhere as good as Spanish La Liga, English Premier League, Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga or even the French Ligue 1 it is still overall pretty high level football with a long list of young, promising players, especially from outside Europe whom the big clubs, with more resources, in better leagues keep an increasingly close eye on!  I recommend my fans to watch this league from time to time too moving forward. Roughly speaking, the top-6 teams are capable of high-quality, often quite aggressive and fast-tempo football. This match will not be one of these matches though. In fact, none of Sint-Truidense’s latest 5 matches have gone over the 2.5 goals line. The number of expected goals is surely lower than the betting market estimates here. This means that our bet Beerschot +1.5 goals has a good chance of winning. The hosts have scored more than one goal in just one of their most recent 5 matches.. They are of course not a good team in the first place, but seem to be finding themselves in a pretty difficult phase now in terms of offensive structure and creativity. The players often make the wrong choice when trying to break the defending team’s defense. 


The hosts have over-performed this season result-wise this season and will likely drop down in the standings during the spring. They currently occupy the 10th place in the standings, but I rate them as only the 13th best team in league. The are of course clear favorites, around 55% to win here, but winning by more than 1 goal’s difference is never easy for mediocre teams and very often in football betting the valuable choice is the underdog with a +1.5 or more goals handicap.. The hosts were extremely lucky in their most recent match to beat Genk 0-1 away from home. They had only 34% ball possession and Genk also recorded much more scoring chances, completed passes, and dangerous attacks. Against Oostende on the 26th of February they were also lucky to grab a point – it was a goalless draw. Sint-Truidense only recorded one shot on target! The visitors are undoubtedly the worst team in this league but not as bad is the table suggests.. They have been unlucky in quite a few matches this season. They are also often capable of keeping the score close even against good teams and have lost many matches by just one goal’s difference. They fight hard in every match and let’s hope they will challenge the hosts here enough to bring my fans and myself a winner!

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