Nantes vs Lille

Nantes host Lille for this French Ligue 1 round 29 battle at Stade de la Beaujoire early Sunday morning Beijing time. This league is the fourth best 5th best league in Europe after English Premier League, Spanish LaLiga, German Bundesliga and Italian Serie A. There are a is one only one really good team by historical success and financial resources by European standards, PSG, in this league, and the level drops quite a lot behind them. There are of course many good players in this league though, but overall it is not the best entertainment for football fans. The goal expectancy on average is lower than in other top European leagues and this match too. Lille have played quote defensive, cautious football in Ligue 1 in in recent weeks and in fact only one match in their latest 5 matches in this league has gone over the 1.5 goals line. Two matches of these matches have even been goalless! The probability of a draw here is 34% - much more than in most matches at the highest level in Europe. Indeed, my fans and myself have a good chance of winning the bet Nantes +1 goals with the 1x2 handicap.

Lille, the reigning champions, currently occupy the 6th place in the standings. Nobody probably expected them to lift the trophy again this season but they have still had a disappointing season in Ligue 1. I have lowered their power rating as the season has progressed. I do rate them better than Strasbourg, who are currently in the 5th place though, and they are in the 5th place on my power rating that illustrate the teams overall class. Indeed, they have been unlucky this season in terms of expected points. Taking that fact into account it is a little surprising to see that over-rated by the betting market.. There are probably two reasons behind the over-valuation..The championship last season and pretty good performances in the Champions League. They qualified from the group stage but were easily beaten by Chelsea in the play offs – 4-1 on aggregate. The second leg was played this week. There is actually quite a lot of data on betting on a team away from home after a Champions League match. It is not a good idea at all! Squad rotation might explain it of course but I think mental factors should also been taken into account. Champions League matches are the biggest games for most teams and players, so motivation and mental state do not seem to be at the optimal level in the next match – especially after a disappointment like here with Lille.. Nantes are in pretty good form and have lost just 2 of their latest 10 matches. Lille are the better team here but with the substantial home advantage the hosts are still the favorites to win!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周日凌晨，南特队将在波约瓦球场迎战法甲29轮比赛中的里尔队。这个联赛是最好最好第四第五联赛英超联赛后在欧洲,西班牙LaLiga,德国足球甲级联赛和意大利联赛a有一个只有一个很好的团队以历史成功根据欧洲标准和财政资源,但是,在这个联赛,和水平下降很多。这个联赛当然有很多优秀的球员，但总的来说，这并不是球迷最好的娱乐方式。本场比赛的平均进球期望比其他欧洲顶级联赛都要低。在最近几周的法甲联赛中，里尔踢的是防守、谨慎的足球，事实上，在他们最近的5场联赛中，只有一场比赛的进球超过了1.5个。其中两场比赛甚至都没有进球!在这里，平局的概率是34%，远远高于欧洲最高级别联赛的大多数比赛。事实上，我的球迷和我自己都有很好的机会在1x2的条件下赢得南特+1球。

里尔，卫冕冠军，目前排名第六。也许没有人期望他们能在这个赛季再次举起奖杯，但是他们在法甲仍然有一个令人失望的赛季。随着季节的推移，我降低了他们的能量等级。我给他们的评分确实比斯特拉斯堡好，斯特拉斯堡目前排名第五，他们在我的能力评分中排名第五，这说明了这支球队的整体水平。事实上，他们本赛季在预期积分方面并不走运。考虑到这一事实，看到博彩市场高估了这一点有点令人惊讶。估值过高可能有两个原因。上赛季的冠军和在欧冠的出色表现。他们在小组赛中出线，但在附加赛中被切尔西轻松击败，总比分为4-1。这周进行了第二回合比赛。事实上，有相当多的数据是关于在冠军联赛比赛后对一支客场球队的投注。这根本不是一个好主意!当然，阵容轮换可以解释这一点，但我认为心理因素也应该考虑在内。欧冠比赛对大多数球队和球员来说都是最重要的比赛，所以在接下来的比赛中，动力和精神状态似乎都没有达到最佳水平——尤其是在经历了像里尔这样的失望之后。南特状态很好，最近10场比赛中只输了2场。里尔是这里更好的球队，但由于主场优势，主队仍有很大希望保持不败!