Mainz vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz hosts Arminia Bielefeld for round 27 of German Bundesliga, the third best league in the planet after English Premier League and Spanish LaLiga. This league often offer entertaining and pretty offensive football. This match, however, is not expected to be a very high-scoring one – mainly because Bielefeld’s attacking game has been very inefficient lately.. Indeed, they have scored just one goal in their five latest matches! This goal was the only goal in a match at home against Union Berlin on the 19th of February. In their most recent match they lost to Dortmund 0-1 away from home and did have a few chances but once again the lack of offensive quality was clearly visible. The goal expectancy for them in this match was only 0.61 goals – Dormund’s number was 2.24. They are pretty weak in defense and in the midfield as well, and I would not be at all surprised if they were to relegate at the end of the season. In my power rating that illustrate the teams’ raw class they are the second worst team in this league. Only Greuther Fuerth are worse on my opinion. At the moment they are in the 15th place. However, they have been lucky this season in terms of expected points. They have six more points in the bank than they actually would have earned. They have also allowed 14 goals less than they should have! Mainz have not been at their best offensively lately but do expect them to break the visitors’ weak defense at least once today.

Mainz too lost their most recent match to Dormund. It was a 0-1 loss at home but Dortmund, despite being the better team on the pitch, did not create much more than Mainz in expected goals. A draw would not have been undeserved.. Before this they were very unlucky to lose 1-3 to Union Berlin away from home. They even created a little more than Union Berlin in goal expectancy – 0.87 goals. Mainz currently occupy the 10th place in the standings but have been unlucky this season and according to expected points should have grabbed 39 points. I see them as the 7th best team in this league. They seem to be undervalued by the betting market here, and I see them having an excellent chance to defeat a weak visitor in front of their loud fans! We must also remember that the visitors have been left depleted going into the match - eight players are out of game because of Covid-19. In addition, Cedric Brunner is out due to a suspension. The hosts’ situation is much better.

美因茨在德甲第 27 轮主场迎战比勒费尔德，这是继英超联赛和西甲联赛后第三好的联赛。这个联盟经常提供有趣且极具进攻性的足球。不过，这场比赛预计不会是一场关注度非常高的比赛——主要是因为比勒菲尔德最近的进攻效率非常低。事实上，他们最近五场比赛只进了一个球！这个进球是 2 月 19 日主场对阵柏林联合时候取得的。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场0-1输给了多特蒙德，虽然也有过几次机会，但进攻质量的缺乏再次清晰可见。他们在这场比赛中的预期进球只有0.61个——多蒙德的进球数是2.24个。他们的防守和中场都很薄弱，如果他们在赛季末降级，我一点也不感到惊讶。他们是这个联盟中第二差的球队。在我看来，只有 菲尔特更糟。目前，他们排在第 15 位。然而，就预期积分而言，他们本赛季很幸运。他们的积分比他们实际获得的多六分。他们还丢掉了应有的 14 个进球！美因茨最近在进攻端并没有处于最佳状态，但他们今天至少能打破客队薄弱的防线一次。

美因茨最近也输给了多蒙德。主场 0-1 的失利，但多特蒙德尽管是场上更好的球队，但在预期进球方面并没有比美因茨创造更多。平局也不是不应该的。在此之前，他们非常不幸地在客场以1-3输给了柏林联合。他们甚至创造了比柏林联合多一点的进球预期——0.87。美因茨目前在积分榜上排名第 10 位，但本赛季运气不佳，根据预期积分应该抢到 39分。我认为他们是联盟中第七好的球队。他们似乎被市场低估了，我看到他们有很好的机会在他们球迷面前击败客队！我们还必须记住，客队在进入比赛时已经筋疲力尽——因为疫情，有八名球员缺席了比赛。此外，塞德里克·布鲁纳因停赛而缺席。主队的情况好多了。