How bad is Barca?
2021-01-24
比赛分析
解读理由
I am afraid I am suspected of being a Barcelona fan as I still recommend them after some weakish performances and they are also missing Messi, and I have also said several times that I have zero confidence in Koeman and Braithwaite.
Yet we have to take the opponent into account, and Elche are the weakest La Liga team for some time despite some random out of nowhere decent performances in maybe 1 in 5 games, like v Real Madrid.
我担心我被怀疑是巴萨的球迷,因为我仍然推荐他们,他们也想念梅西,我也说过几次,我对科曼和布雷斯维特没有信心。
然而,我们必须把对手考虑在内,尽管埃尔切在5场比赛中有1场表现出色,但在一段时间内是西甲最弱的球队,就像对皇家马德里一样。
Elche last 7 results v xG-data.

They do have 4 draws, none of them fully deserved, and to be honest they have lost by this handicap only 4 times this season. Getafe - I previewed that game if you want to take a look - Atletico, Betis and Sociedad.
The bad news for Elche is that Barcelona belong very much into this category of teams with strong possession identity, and the individuals to create space and chances in 1-on-1 situations on the wings and in the center.
The Elche strenght is that they have scored from very few chances and from low goal expectancy.. or perhaps it is a weakness? They are always the underdog, there is no identifiable striker they could rely on, and it is telling that in the Valladolid match both goals were scored by wingback Josan! There are only two players in Elche squad have have had chances to score worth 2 goals, both are midfielders. Best scorer Fidel with 4 goals is out today, half a dozen players have a doubtful status but as mentioned none of them is of huge importance on his own.
Yes, Barca. A big worry and a disappointment, but still they have created so many chances that with a normal luck - or lack of bad luck - they would be on top of the table. They have had their share of crisis on and off the pitch with all sorts of problems. Braithwaite should not play in a team like this, never should start.
But there is Pedri, De Jong, Alba, Ter Stegen, Dembele.. and a lot more class that Elche can only dream about.
And does this look so bad after all?
他们确实有4场平局,但没有一场是完全应得的,而且说实话,他们本赛季在这个障碍下只输了4次。赫塔菲——如果你想看的话,我已经预演了那场比赛——马竞、贝蒂斯和皇家社会。
对埃尔切来说,坏消息是巴塞罗那属于这一类球队,他们拥有很强的控球能力,在1对1的情况下,他们能够在边路和中路创造空间和机会。
埃尔切的优势在于他们的进球机会很少,进球期望值也很低。或者这是一种弱点?他们总是处于劣势,他们没有可以信赖的前锋,而且在对巴利亚多利德的比赛中两个进球都是由边后卫乔桑打进的。在埃尔切的阵容中只有两名球员有机会攻入2球,他们都是中场。最佳射手菲德尔以4个进球的成绩在今天出局了,有6名球员的地位值得怀疑,但正如前面提到的,他们中没有一个是他自己非常重要的。
是的,巴萨。这是一大担忧,也是一大失望,但他们仍然创造了如此多的机会,只要运气正常——或者不倒霉——他们就能登上榜首。他们在球场内外都经历了各种各样的危机。布雷斯维特不应该在这样的队伍里打球,永远不应该首发。
但是有佩德罗,德容,阿尔巴,特·斯特根,登贝莱…还有更多埃尔切做梦也想不到的出色球员。
这看起来真的很糟糕吗?

Barcelona will create chances - xG - at least for three goals today, and I would be surprised if Elche create any even if Dest is another defender to possibly miss the game. Barcelona will win the midfield 100-0, and unless the strikers have especially bad day this will be the easiest win of the weekend.
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巴萨将创造机会,今天至少有3个进球,如果埃尔切创造机会,我会很惊讶。巴塞罗那将100%赢得中场控制权,除非前锋们运气不佳,否则这将是周末最容易的胜利。
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