Strong value in Bundesliga 2 today 德乙圣保利VS海登海姆
2022-03-18
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion St. Pauli have really good chances to make win in today's match up.
St Pauli have good mental advantage before today's game as they won last 3 consecutive matches against Heidenheim. What is impressive - St Pauli in each game scored 4 goals!
St Pauli coming here in good form - they won two of last three matches. In last round they had draw 1:1 on away against Dynamo, but that wasn't fully deserved result because St Pauli missed 3 really big chances to score in that game. Now they coming back at home and this is perfect moment to record a win. St Pauli is the strongest home team in whole league - they won 9 of 12 home matches and scored 31 goals in the process! Today they don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in last rounds.
After 4 matches winless streak, in last round Heidenheim won at home 2:1 against Werder, but they were lucky - Werder had 20 shots and 61% ball possession. Heidenheim have serious squad problems because 5 players which played against Werder are unavailable/doubtful today: defenders Bosch & Fohrenbach, midfielders Sessa & Schoppner and second-best scorer Leipertz. That should have very bad impact on their performance today. Heidenheim on away is very poor - only 4 teams in whole league plays worse than them on away.
In those circumstances I see very good chances for hosts to make 3 points.
在我看来,圣保利在今天的比赛中获得胜利的机会非常大。
圣保利在今天的比赛前有很好的心理优势,他们在最近3场对阵海登海姆的比赛中连续获胜。令人印象深刻的是——圣保利在每场比赛中都打进了4球!
圣保利以良好的状态来到这场比赛——他们赢得了过去三场比赛中的两场。上轮他们客场1:1战平德累斯顿迪纳摩,但这并不是一个应得的结果,因为圣保利在那场比赛中错失了3次非常好的得分机会。现在他们回到了主场,这是重回胜轨的完美机会。圣保利是联赛中主场表现最好的球队——他们赢得了 12 场主场比赛中的 9 场,并在此过程中打进了 31 球!今天他们没有任何新的缺席,所以他们的阵容应该和上轮比赛一样。
经过4场不胜,上轮海登海姆主场2:1战胜云达不莱梅,但运气不错——不莱梅有20次射门,控球率达到61%。海登海姆有严重的阵容问题。5名参加了上一场比赛球员今天无法上场/出战存疑:后卫博施和福伦巴赫、中场球员塞萨和肖普纳以及第二得分手莱珀茨。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。海登海姆的客场表现很差——只有4支球队的客场成绩比他们差。
在这种情况下,我认为主队有很好的机会获得 3 分。
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