I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.40 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. There is good reasons for it.

Queretaro don't have real home advantage in today's game because after horror scenes in their last home game, their home ground is closed. Today they will play at Morelos stadium, with empty stands without crowd support. Without any shadow of doubt this is advantage for guests. I believe this information is not fully adjusted in odds.

In addition to that, San Luis is simply in much better form at the moment. They were able to win 2:0 on away against 6th Monterrey, then they had draw at home against Chivas, but they deserved for something more as they had 1.54 expected goals scored, Chivas 0.58. In last round they won 2:1 at home against strong Puebla (2nd place). Atletico scored deciding goal in 90+6 so this win should give them a lot of confidence and morale in team for sure is very high. San Luis scored more than one goal in last 3 matches in a row and all goals scored by different players - looks like everything clicking together at the moment.

Queretaro is without good form - they failed to win in last 4 consecutive matches. There is problem with creativity - in those matches they scored only 2 goals (one from penalty kick) and in each game they had expected goals scored number below 0.95.

Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

San Luis didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches against Queretaro and they have all required tools to make it happen today again.