Monaco -1 is a big bet. For me the line had to be at -1.25, I don't understand this odd. I will give some reasons.

1st Reason: The most explicit and unquestionable. The difference in the quality of the teams. Monaco for me, after PSG, is the French team with the most technical quality. Braga on the other hand is much weaker than last season. The team reduced investment, sold the most important players and there were not many signings. The team is very young, 11 players called up for this game are from young teams. In tactical terms, Monaco is not doing very well but Braga is even worse. Braga in the last game lost at home 0-1 with Gil Vicente, in the direct confrontation for the fourth place. It was a game they had to win. Monaco on the other hand lost to the surprising Strasbourg but rested some important players to be 100% in this game.

2nd Reason: This odd is like this due to the 2-0 in the first leg, they are weighing it more than the must win but for me it's wrong. Braga won 2-0 but was lucky, it's a misleading result. They made it 1-0 very early and after that only Braga wanted to play and looked for the result. Monaco dominated the whole game, had 2 goals disallowed and with some misfortune suffered the 2-0 in the end. When they deserved to play 1-1 or 1-2, they are punished with 2-0. But this still helps our bet even more, the 1-0 we didn't lose and Braga passed anyway. So I expect Monaco to put pressure on from start to finish, they will make it 1-0 and Braga will just continue to limit themselves to defending and will never scare away in the search for 1-0. And just defending is halfway to conceding 2-0.

Reason 3: Another important detail is that Monaco has some problems playing away but at home it has been very strong this season. Braga has had numerous difficulties away. In 4 away games in the Europe League, they lost 3, winning only against the weak Ludogarets. Lost to Crvena Zvezda, Midtjylland and Sheriff. All teams weaker than Monaco.

Monaco is much stronger technically and has the huge must win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

看好摩纳哥，我会给出一些理由。

第一个原因:最明确、最不容置疑的。团队质量的差异。在我看来，摩纳哥是继巴黎圣日耳曼之后技术水平最高的法国队。另一方面，布拉加比上赛季弱很多。球队减少了投资，卖掉了最重要的球员，也没有多少球员签约。这支球队非常年轻，参加这场比赛的11名球员都来自年轻球队。在战术方面，摩纳哥做得不是很好，但布拉加更糟。布拉加在上一场主场0-1输给吉尔·维森特，在争夺第四名的直接交锋中。这场比赛他们必须赢。另一方面，摩纳哥出人意料地输给了斯特拉斯堡，但在这场比赛中让一些重要球员休息了一段时间。

第二个原因:这种奇怪的情况是由于第一回合的2-0，他们认为这比必须赢的更重要，但对我来说这是错误的。布拉加2-0获胜，但很幸运，这是一个误导的结果。他们很早就将比分锁定为1-0，在那之后，只有布拉加想踢比赛，并期待着结果。摩纳哥控制了整场比赛，有两个进球被判无效，并不幸地以2-0结束了比赛。当他们应该打1-1或1-2时，却被罚2-0。但这仍然有助于我们的赌注，1-0我们没有输，无论如何布拉加通过了。所以我希望摩纳哥从开始到结束都能给他们施加压力，他们会把比分追到1-0，而布拉加会继续把自己限制在防守上，永远不会在1-0的争夺中退缩。仅仅防守就差2-0的一半了。

原因3:另一个重要的细节是摩纳哥在客场有一些问题，但在主场他们本赛季表现非常出色。布拉加在客场遇到了很多困难。在欧洲联赛的4场客场比赛中，他们输了3场，只赢了弱队卢多格雷特。输给了茨韦兹达，米德吉尔兰和警长。所有球队都弱于摩纳哥。

摩纳哥在技术上更强，而且有巨大的必胜。