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CONCACAF Semifinals! Who wins? 美冠杯 蒙特利尔vs蓝十字

2022-03-16

比赛分析

美冠杯

已完赛

星期四2022-03-17 08:00

解读理由

CONCACAF semifinals second leg. First game ended 1-0 for Cruz Azul.

Montreal is a strong team from the MLS. They have a huge advantage for this match - it will be played in the Olympic Stadium (which isn’t the usual stadium of Montreal), used in winter when the snow and weather is hard, like now.

This stadium has a synthetic field, something that Cruz Azul isn’t used to and for sure will struggle there. To the pitch we need to add the weather, as it’s really cold there and Cruz Azul (from Mexico) isn’t used to either.

For Cruz Azul, apart from the circumstances (pitch, weather) which are against them, there’re also some important players out. Two of them (Bryan Angulo and Rafael Baca) are coach decisions while another three (Alejandro Mayorga, Romulo Otero and Julio Cesar Dominguez) are injured.

Rafael Baca is a key player in the midfield, but he is out due to rotations as Cruz Azul will play in the weekend against the leader of the MX League – Pachuca.

Another key player - Christian Tabo - is back but he has been injured for a long time, so isn’t ready to play a full game yet.

The previous game ended 1-0 for Cruz Azul, where they took advantage of the home factor. It was a close match without too many chances.

Other Mexican teams were easily beaten by MLS sides in the United States in this ¼ finas already: Leon lost 3:0 vs Seattle Sounders and Pumas lost 3:0 as well against New England Revolution).

Montreal already beat in 1/4 finals a Mexican team (Santos Laguna), after losing the first game in Mexico 1:0, won 3:0 at home in Canada.

Given these circumstances, the home advantage (weather + pitch) and the away missings, I believe we should see a home win here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

CONCACAF半决赛第二回合。第一场比赛克鲁兹以1-0结束。

蒙特利尔是美国职业足球大联盟中的一支强队。他们在这场比赛中有一个巨大的优势——它将在奥林匹克体育场(这不是蒙特利尔通常的体育场)进行,这是在冬季下雪和天气恶劣时使用的,就像现在。

这个体育场有一个合成场地,这是克鲁兹·阿苏尔不习惯的,肯定会在那里挣扎。在球场上,我们需要加上天气,因为那里真的很冷,而克鲁兹·阿苏尔(来自墨西哥)也不习惯。

对于克鲁兹-阿苏尔来说,除了对他们不利的环境(投球,天气),还有一些重要的球员出局。其中两人(布莱恩·安古洛和拉斐尔·巴卡)是教练人选,另外三人(亚历杭德罗·马约加,罗穆罗·奥特罗和胡里奥·塞萨尔·多明格斯)受伤。

拉斐尔·巴卡是中场的关键球员,但他由于克鲁兹将在周末与MX联赛领头羊帕丘卡的比赛中轮换而缺席。

另一名关键球员——克里斯蒂安·塔波已经回来了,但是他已经受伤很长时间了,所以还没有准备好打一场完整的比赛。

在上一场比赛中,他们利用主场优势,以1-0的比分结束了比赛。这是一场势均力敌的比赛,没有多少机会。

其他墨西哥球队已经在美国大联盟的四分之一决赛中被轻易击败:里昂3:0输给西雅图Sounders,彪马3:0输给新英格兰革命)。

蒙特利尔已经在1/4决赛中击败了墨西哥队(桑托斯·拉古纳),在墨西哥的第一场比赛1:0失利后,在加拿大主场以3:0获胜。

考虑到这些情况,主场优势(天气+场地)和客场失球,我相信我们会在这里看到主场胜利。

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