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足球分析师
葡萄牙人,全职从事体育行业多年,被誉为全世界掌握巴西足球信息最多的人。
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2020-12-17

比赛分析

巴甲

已完赛

星期四2020-12-17 08:30

解读理由

Atl. Mineiro 0.25 is a big bet that we have to do. This game is a great battle for the title. São Paulo is in first place with 50 points and Atl. Mineiro is in second place with 46 points. In other words, a draw here is not bad for São Paulo, so I see a bigger must win for Atl. Minero.

Without fans at the stadium, I don't see a big home factor here. For me it is a game without a favorite, maybe Atl. Minero be slightly. I basically expected a 0.0, that of Atl. Mineiro 1.8 and little and São Paulo 2 and little.

São Paulo is the big surprise of the season but I don't believe that they will be able to maintain this rhythm until the end of the season. All teams went through bouts of Covid and had many players out. Atl. Mineiro, Flamengo and Palmeiras went through this, they are the other strong candidates for the title. So they lost points in games that were not supposed to and that is making a difference. São Paulo on the other hand has not yet suffered from Covid-19 and has not wasted points against the teams at the bottom of the table. Only the squad is very short, they depend on the 11 starters who are almost always the same. The attacking duo Luciano and Brenner is onfire, they are in a great moment and decided practically all the games. Except for this match Luciano is out, they got injured and should only play again in 2021. That will make a lot of difference because they don't have a reserve with his characteristics. In principle, Pablo will play, who is a different player, this will make a difference.

Atl. Mineiro knows the importance of this game, they need to win here. The title of Brasileirão this season is the big goal for them. The starters will be the same as in the last game, the attack is very mobile and will create difficulties in defending São Paulo. E. Vargas, who was hired last month, added another technical dimension to the team. He was the player they lacked to attack, he is very good.

In technical quality I see Atl. Mineiro better and with Luciano out I believe that tactically they will also be better. Must win is something that I see is also higher for them. Home factor without fans is not enough for São Paulo to be a favorite.

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