In my opinion Real Madrid have much bigger chances to make win today than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. Those odds should be lower by 0.20 or so. +0 AH looks like really nice and safe bet. I simply don't see away win in this game.

Real lost first game 0:1 and that was fully deserved result. Mbappe scored very late goal and gave win for team from Paris, but according to many sources he will not play in first squad today after very bad tackle on the training yesterday. It's a huge blow for Paris - he is simply their the best player, best scorer and best assistant in Ligue1. He scored 13 goals and made 5 assists in last 13 Champions League matches..

Both teams coming to this game in totally different mood. Real since loss in Paris played 3 matches and won all of them. In last round they played at home against dangerous (6th) Sociedad and won 4:1 from 0:1 down. That should give them a lot of confidence. In my opinion that was the best Real Madrid match in 2022. On the other hand since last match between both teams Paris lost 2 of 3 matches. In last match Paris lost 0:1 on away against Nice and looked very poor without Mbappe on the pitch: only 8 shots (0.73 expected goals scored). It's hard to imagine big improvement today - Neymar scored only one goal in last 7 matches, Messi has failed to score in the last 695 minutes against team from Madrid in all competitions.

I don't see clean sheet for Paris today - they conceded 5 goals in last 3 matches when Real scored 8 goals in last 3 matches. Benzema confidence should be on the very high level as he scored in last 3 consecutive matches. He scored 12 goals in last 11 home Champions League matches for Real Madrid.

Real in their history played 5 times against Paris in European Cups and lost only once (4 wins in the process). On the other hand Paris failed to win in last 4 away Champions League matches and won only one of their last 8 away matches against teams from La Liga (5 losses in the process).

In those circumstances double selection on Real Madrid looks like superb bet.

在我看来，皇马今天获胜的机会要大得多。主队不败看起来非常不错且安全的赌注。我不认为巴黎可以赢得这场比赛的胜利。

皇马首回合0:1输了，这是当之无愧的结果。姆巴佩在很晚的时候打进一球，为巴黎队赢得了胜利，但根据许多消息来源，在昨天的训练中非常糟糕的铲球后，他今天不会在本场出场。这对巴黎来说是一个巨大的打击——他是在法甲联赛中最好的球员、最佳射手和助攻最多的球员。在过去的13场欧冠比赛中，他打进13球，送出5次助攻。

两支球队以完全不同的心情参加这场比赛。自从在巴黎失利以来，皇马共进行了3场比赛并赢得了所有比赛。上轮他们在主场迎战（第 6 名）皇家社会，在0:1 的落后的情况下以 4:1 逆转获胜。这应该会给他们很大的信心。在我看来，这是 2022 年皇马最好的一场比赛。另一方面，自上一场两队之间的比赛以来，巴黎在3场比赛中输了2场。在上一场比赛中，巴黎客场0:1不敌尼斯，在没有姆巴佩的情况下看起来很糟糕：只有8次射门（0.73个预期进球）。很难想象今天有很大的进步——内马尔在过去的7场比赛中只打进一球，梅西在所有比赛中对阵马德里队有695分钟都没有进球。

我不认为巴黎会保持不失球——他们在过去 3 场比赛中丢了 5 球，而皇马在过去 3 场比赛中打进 8 球。本泽马的信心应该非常足，因为他在过去的3场比赛中连续进球。他在皇家马德里的最近11场欧冠主场比赛中打进12球。

皇马历史上在欧洲杯中与巴黎交手5次，只输过一次（过程中4胜）。另一方面，巴黎最近4场欧冠客场均未尝胜绩，近8场客场对阵西甲球队只赢了一场（过程中有5场失利）。

在在这种情况下，皇马不败看起来像是极好的选择。