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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Excellent value in Ligue 1 big match

2022-03-06

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期一2022-03-07 03:45

解读理由

In my opinion Monaco have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Monaco is already 5 points behind place in European Cups and they have to regroup quick and stop dropping points here and there. Marseille is on second place in league table, but they have one of the lowest amount of point at this stage of the season for second placed team in last 10-15 years. Is hard to trust them as they won only 5 of last 19 matches against Monaco in all competitions.

Monaco coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Marseille second-best scorer in current season Cengiz Under is unavailable, it's a big blow for their offensive formation.

Marseille at the moment is very unstable at the back - they conceded at least one goal in last 5 consecutive matches (8 goals together). On the other hand Monaco scored more than one goal in 6 of last 9 matches and failed to score only against Lorient at home, but they had 1.18 expected goals scored in that game. Monaco best scorer in current Yedder loves to play against Marseille as he scored already 7 goals against them in his career.

Monaco failed to win in last 3 matches in a row, but they played much better than their results shows. In each game they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents. Marseille failed to win in 6 of last 8 home league matches, in last home game they lost 0:2 against poor Clermont. They doesn't looked convincing also in last round match on away against Troyes (1:1) where they scored goal from penalty kick: expected goals scored for Troyes 1.88, for Marseille 1.03.

All in all, teams are on very similar level, but Monaco have a strong record against Marseille and played better in last rounds despite worse results. Value is on their side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,摩纳哥在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

摩纳哥在欧洲杯上已经落后了5分,他们必须迅速重整队伍,停止在这里和那里丢分。马赛目前在联赛积分榜上排名第二,但在过去的10-15年里,他们在本赛季的积分榜上排名最低。很难相信他们,因为他们在过去19场对摩纳哥的比赛中只赢了5场。

摩纳哥将在没有任何新球员缺席的情况下参加这场比赛,所以他们的阵容看起来应该和上一轮完全一样。马赛本赛季的第二得分手坚吉兹·Under缺阵,这对他们的进攻阵型是一个很大的打击。

马赛目前在后防线上非常不稳定——他们在最近5场比赛中至少丢了一个球(总共8个球)。另一方面,摩纳哥队在过去的9场比赛中有6场进球超过1个,只有在主场对阵洛里昂队时才没有进球,但他们在那场比赛中有1.18个预期进球。摩纳哥目前的最佳射手耶德喜欢和马赛比赛,在他的职业生涯中他已经打进了7个进球。

摩纳哥队在最近的三场比赛中都没有获胜,但他们的表现比他们的成绩要好得多。在每一场比赛中,他们的预期进球数都高于对手。马赛在最近8场主场比赛中有6场失利,在上一场主场比赛中他们0:2输给了可怜的克莱蒙特。在上一轮客场对阵特鲁瓦(1:1)的比赛中,他们的点球得分也没有令人信服:特鲁瓦的预期进球为1.88,马赛的预期进球为1.03。

总的来说,两支球队的水平非常接近,但摩纳哥在对阵马赛的比赛中有着良好的记录,尽管结果更糟,但在上一轮比赛中表现得更好。

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