Racing Club vs Talleres Cordoba

Racing Club host Talleres Cordoba at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón for this Argentinian Copa De La Liga Profesional round 5 battle Sunday morning Beijing time. A quite low-scoring match is on the cards according to the betting market, most football analysts and many pro football analysts as well. Personally I expect a clash with even lower goal expectancy. This would increase the probability of a draw and my fans and myself having a winner with the bet Talleres Cordoba +0.5 goals handicap. The main reasoning behind the analysis on a relatively low-scoring match is the fact that Talleres Cordoba have played surprisingly cautious, defensive football so far this season and probably will not be too aggressive here either away from home and not having the best self-confidence at the moment. They have really struggled with scoring so far but have had bad luck too in at least two matches.. However, I have been a little disappointed on them as a whole so far, and have decreased their power rating that illustrate the teams’ raw class slightly from my pre-season numbers. However, the betting market seems to rate them a lot lower than me.. Racing Club, on the other hand, have managed to score a decent number of goals, 7, so far this season but have had some luck in scoring too. Normally they do not play very aggressive football even at home in front of their fans.

Racing Club have won just 1 of their first 4 matches and overall I have not been very impressed by their performances-. Their midfield looks a bit unbalanced and there are some vulnerabilities in their defense too. With a little more luck their opponents could have scored a several more goals! They did play pretty well in their most recent match though. I was a tough battle against the biggest and best team in this league, River Plate, away from home. It was a 2-2 draw, but River Plate would have deserved a narrow win. It seems the betting market has over-reacted to this surprising result and over-values the hosts here. Let’s not forget that Racing Club finished in the 15th place in Liga Professional last year with 32 points, whereas the visitors grabbed 46 points and finished in the 3rd place.. According to the respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, both teams’ players’ total market value is 45.45 million euros but I would value the hosts squad at 39 million. The visitors’ squad’s fair value is 49 million in my opinion. The visitors are the better team by raw class but with the substantial home advantage the hosts are marginal favorites but the visitors +0.5 goals handicap bet has a 62% chance of winning!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周日上午，阿根廷西甲职业杯第5轮比赛在胡安-多明戈体育场(Perón)举行。根据博彩市场、大多数足球分析师和许多职业足球分析师的预测，一场得分相当低的比赛是有可能的。就我个人而言，我认为这场比赛的目标期望值会更低。这将增加平局的概率，我和我的球迷和我的赌注是托雷斯·科尔多瓦+0.5个进球。对一场得分相对较低的比赛进行分析的主要原因是，科尔多巴本赛季迄今为止踢出了令人惊讶的谨慎和防守足球，可能不会在这里或主场太过激进，目前没有最好的自信。到目前为止，他们确实在进球方面遇到了困难，但在至少两场比赛中也运气不佳。然而，到目前为止，我对他们的整体表现有点失望，并降低了他们的实力评级，这表明他们的实力比我的季前赛数据略逊一筹。然而，博彩市场对他们的评价似乎比我低得多。另一方面，赛车俱乐部本赛季迄今为止已经打进了7个进球，但在进球方面也有一些运气。通常情况下，即使是在主场，他们也不会在球迷面前踢出侵略性很强的足球。

赛车俱乐部在前四场比赛中只赢了一场，总的来说，我对他们的表现不太满意。他们的中场看起来有点不平衡，防守也有一些弱点。如果运气好一点，他们的对手可以再进几个球!不过在最近的比赛中，他们确实表现得很好。客场对阵联盟中最大最好的球队河床队是一场艰苦的战斗。这是一场2-2的平局，但河床队理应以险胜取胜。博彩市场似乎对这一出人意料的结果反应过度，高估了东道主的价值。我们不要忘记，去年赛马队在西甲联赛中以32分排名第15位，而客队则以46分排名第3位。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，两支球队球员的总市值为4545万欧元，但我认为主队的市值为3900万欧元。客队的公允价值在我看来是4900万。客队在原始级别上是更好的球队，但由于主场优势，主队是边缘的热门，但客队+0.5个进球的条件下，有62%的机会获胜!