Betis did let me down badly in the derby loss v Sevilla, there was not much to be seen from the entertaining and strong side. Perhaps they were saving energy - unconsciously - for the cup semifinal v Rayo Vallecano played on Thursday night?

In that game they needed a late winner from Borja Iglesias to reach the final, and as they have also Frankfurt in the EL next week they have more than a fair share of games at the moment, and it has to feel and show in their legs. There are now only 2 full days of rest and it is a well-known fact - not a hunch but a fact, that it is not enough to be even close to 100% fitness.

Atletico have failed several times this season result-wise and especially they are leaking goals like never before. Is it just a phase, bad luck? Sure, keeper Oblak has been a mortal human being this season, but also according to xG-data Atletico still do have the best defense in the league! They have conceded only 23 goals worth of goal expectation, and it is strange that still the actual number of conceded goals in 34!

As overall performances they should be in tight contest in the title race with Real Madrid and Barcelona, but it was not meant to be. They also showed their superiority against Man United last week and should had won.

So tiredness and class are factors, and the biggest point however is the absentee list of Betis! Their best player Canales is suspended, and half a dozen decent players are big questionmarks, for example

Nabil Fekir, Rodri, Diego Lainez and Victor Camarasa. If Fekir is also out there is very little or none of the creativity left.

Atletico have some absentees as well, Savic and Kondobgia at least and Koke is a doubt, but all the reasons above combined mean that Betis must be opposed this time.

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贝蒂斯在对阵塞维利亚的德比战中确实让我很失望，从娱乐性和强大的一面看不出太多东西。也许他们是在无意识地为周四晚上对阵 巴列卡诺的杯赛半决赛节省体能？

在那场比赛中，他们需要来自 Borja Iglesias 的进球才进入决赛，而且由于他们下周在欧联杯中也有法兰克福，他们目前有相当多的比赛，现在只有 2 天的休息时间，这是一个众所周知的事实——不是预感而是事实，即使接近 100% 的身体状态也是不够的。

马竞本赛季在结果方面多次失败，尤其是他们以前所未有的方式丢球。这只是一个阶段，运气不好？当然，守门员奥布拉克本赛季一直是个普通球员，但根据 xG 数据，马竞仍然拥有联盟中最好的防守！他们只丢了23个球，但实际失球数是34！

整体表现，他们应该在与皇家马德里和巴塞罗那的冠军争夺战中展开激烈的竞争，但这并不是注定的。上周他们在对阵曼联的比赛中也展示了自己的优势，完全有机会赢下比赛。

所以疲劳和上课是因素，然而最大的一点是贝蒂斯的缺席名单！他们最好的球员卡纳莱斯被停赛，还有很多关键都有很大的疑问，比如 纳比尔·费基尔、罗德里、迭戈·莱内斯和维克多·卡马拉萨。如果 Fekir 也无法出场，那么创造力就很少了。

马竞也有一些缺席者，至少萨维奇和孔多吉亚和科克出战存疑，但以上所有原因加在一起，我不看好贝蒂斯拿分。

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