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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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De Tomas v Unal! 西甲西班牙人VS赫塔费

2022-03-05

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2022-03-05 23:15

解读理由

Let us simplify strongly a few things. Espanyol have won 6 of their 13 home games so far, if they win they would be at 50% home win ratio, and it would justify odds of for a win? Naturally it does not go exactly like that, but surely the odds of more than 2 against a bottom half team who miss their 3 key players due suspension has to be of some interest?

Espanyol did get destroyed by Villarreal last time, but it was away, and their last two home games were not wins but draws, and against stronger teams Sevilla and Barcelona. They are yet to win a match on 2022 though, but will there be any better chances than this?

Getafe miss leading centre-back Cuenca, most creative midfielder Alena, and the hard man Damian Suarez, and in a team who lack depth like Getafe all of those are major absentees. If they would also lose star striker Unal they would look like a Segunda side!

Getafe are two wins above relegation line, but it is definitely not due to their away form, as they have no wins to show on their travels this season. They have scored 7 goals in 13 games, that has earned them 6 points. They are hardly the team to be afraid of when visiting.

Espanyol naturally rely heavily on the goals of RDT, Getafe have similarly strong finisher in Unal, but I am expecting Getafe's creativity suffering a big loss due suspensions that Espanyol will offer double amount of goal scoring chances to RDT, Raul de Tomas.

Espanyol are +50 % winners in this.

2-0


让我们长话短说。到目前为止,西班牙人已经赢得了 13 场主场比赛中的 6 场,如果他们赢了,他们的主场胜率将达到 50%,这将证明获胜的几率是合理的吗?不会完全如此。

西班牙人上一场确实被比利亚雷亚尔摧毁了,但是客场作战,他们最近两场主场比赛不是胜利而是平局,对阵的是实力更强的塞维利亚和巴塞罗那。虽然他们还没有在 2022 年赢得一场比赛,但还有比这更好的机会吗?

赫塔菲缺少了中后卫昆卡、最具创造力的中场阿莱娜和硬汉达米安苏亚雷斯,而在赫塔菲这样缺乏深度的球队中,所有这些都是重要的缺席者。如果他们也失去明星前锋乌纳尔,他们的实力会大大削弱!

赫塔菲比降级去多了两场胜利,但这绝对不是因为他们的客场状态,因为他们没有获胜展示他们本赛季的旅行。他们在13场比赛中打进7球,为他们赢得了6分。

西班牙人自然非常依赖RDT的进球,赫塔菲在Unal也有同样强大的终结者,但我预计赫塔菲的创造力会因为他的停赛而遭受巨大损失,西班牙人将为RDT劳尔德托马斯提供双倍的进球机会。

西班牙此战拥有50%的机会获胜。

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