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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Where is value in this Championship game

2022-03-04

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期六2022-03-05 03:45

解读理由

In my opinion Nottingham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams are very close to each other in league table. Sheffield is 7th, but have only two points more than Nottingham. It's very important match and both teams will fight till end of the season for place in the playoffs.

Nottingham coming to this game without any new abscences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they recorded comfortable win at home against Bristol 2:0. Fully deserved win: expected goals scored for Nottingham 1.26, for Bristol 0.29. That was another high quality performance from Nottingham at both ends of the pitch. They kept clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches. Also they don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored more than one goal in 4 of last 5 matches. For sure they coming for today's match full of confidence.

Sheffield failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches. In last round they lost on away against Millwall and that wasn't good performance at all, only 0.83 expected goals scored in that game. Sheffield have serious squad problems before today's match. For sure they are without defenders: Goode, Basham, Stevens & Bogle and strikers: McGoldrick (3 goals) and Brewster (2 goals). In addition to that key defender Baldock and key midfielders Osborne & Hourihane are very doubtful for this game. It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

In those circumstances I see very good value on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,诺丁汉在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

这两个队在联赛积分榜上的名次非常接近。谢菲尔德排名第七,但只比诺丁汉多两分。这是一场非常重要的比赛,两队都将为了季后赛的位置奋战到赛季结束。

诺丁汉在这场比赛中没有任何新的突破,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮主场2:0轻松取胜布里斯托尔时一模一样。完全应得的胜利:诺丁汉的预期进球为1.26,布里斯托尔的为0.29。这是诺丁汉在球场两端的又一次高质量的表现。在最近4场比赛中,他们有3场没有失球。此外,他们在进球方面也没有问题,因为他们在最近5场比赛中有4场进球超过一个。可以肯定的是,他们来参加今天的比赛是充满信心的。

谢菲尔德在最近的5场比赛中有3场没有进球。在上一轮客场输给米尔沃尔队时,他们的表现一点也不好,那场比赛的预期进球只有0.83个。谢菲尔德在今天的比赛之前有严重的阵容问题。可以肯定的是,他们没有后卫:古德、巴沙姆、斯蒂文斯和博格尔,以及前锋:麦戈德里克(3球)和布鲁斯特(2球)。除了关键的后卫巴尔多克和关键的中场球员奥斯本和胡里哈恩,他们在这场比赛中的表现非常值得怀疑。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

在这种情况下,我在客场看到了非常好的价值。

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