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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will win in La Liga today? 西甲马洛卡VS皇家社会

2022-03-02

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期四2022-03-03 04:00

解读理由

In my opinion Mallorca have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Mallorca have very solid home record against Sociedad in La Liga. They didn't lost in 19 of 23 matches at home against them.

Mallorca escaped from relegation zone, now they are 5 points above. Of course, season is still not finished and they have to continue collecting points. After two good wins at home against Cadiz & Bilbao, they lost 1:2 on away after close match (late goal conceded form penalty kick) against strong Betis. In last round Mallorca played at home against Valencia. They lost 0:1, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Mallorca 2.02, for Valencia 0.48.

Mallorca coming to this game with almost best possible line up, only key defensive midfielder Inigo is unavailable, but they played without him already in previous round. Mallorca is solid home team, they didn't lost in 10 of 13 home matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should make even better results. Mallorca scored 13 goals at home, but according to the model they should score 21.88.

Currently is hard to trust for Sociedad - they won only 2 of last 8 matches in all competitions, both at home against teams from bottom half of the table. Sociedad failed to win in 5 consecutive away La Liga matches. They coming for today's match without important defenders Munoz, Zaldua and Rico, key midfielder Januzaj and important winger Barrenetxea. That should have bad impact on their performance today.

Mallorca manager Luis Garcia Plaza in his managerial career played 9 matches against Sociedad and didn't lost 7 times. He have all required tools to continue good streak against them today.


在我看来,马洛卡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

马洛卡在西甲对阵社会的比赛中有着非常稳固的主场战绩。他们在主场对阵他们的23场比赛中有19场没有输球。

马洛卡脱离降级区,目前领先5分。当然,赛季还没有结束,他们还得继续积分。在主场迎战加的斯和毕尔巴鄂两场大胜后,他们在客场以1:2的比分在与实力强劲的贝蒂斯的比赛中(后期失球形式点球)输掉了比赛。上轮马洛卡主场迎战瓦伦西亚。他们以 0:1 失利,但这根本不是应得的结果:马洛卡的预期进球数为 2.02,瓦伦西亚的预期进球数为 0.48。

马洛卡以几乎最好的阵容参加这场比赛,只有关键的防守型中场伊尼戈无法上场,但他们在上一轮比赛中已经没有他。马洛卡是主队,13场主场10场不败,但按照预期进球模型应该会取得更好的成绩。马洛卡在主场打进了 13 球,但根据模型,他们应该进 21.88 球。

目前很难信任皇家社会——他们在所有比赛中的最后 8 场比赛中只赢了 2 场,都是在主场对阵积分榜下半区的球队。皇家社会连续5场西甲客场均未尝胜绩。他们在没有重要后卫穆尼奥斯、扎尔杜瓦和里科、关键中场贾努扎伊和重要边锋巴雷内切亚的情况下参加今天的比赛。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生不良影响。

马洛卡主帅路易斯·加西亚·普拉扎在他的执教生涯中与皇家社会交手9次,7次没有输球。预测马洛卡不败。

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