In my opinion Fiorentina have really good chances to avoid a loss in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Juventus 1:0 home win - that was very lucky as they scored in additional time. Expected goals scored for Juventus 0.75, for Fiorentina 0.40. Fiorentina didn't lost in last two home matches against them.

After three consecutive wins (twice against Atalanta + Spezia) Fiorentina lost at the weekend on away against Sassuolo 1:2. That was undeserved result as they conceded deciding goal in 90+4. Expected goals scored for Fiorentina 2.30, for Sassuolo 1.77. Fiorentina coming to this game with almost best possible line up and they have big motivation to bounce back on good track front of home crowd.

On the other hand Juventus have serious squad problems before today's match. They are without defenders: Rugani, Bonucci, Chiellini and Sandro, midfielders: Zakaria and McKennie, wingers: Bernardeschi & Chiesa and team super star and best player Dybala. It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today. Juventus won only one of last 4 matches - at the weekend on away against Empoli 3:2, but that wasn't convincing at all. Empoli had their chances.

Juventus conceded at least one goal in last 5 matches in a row and this is good opportunity to score for Fiorentina striker Piątek, since he had debut in Copa Italia he is the best scorer of this competition. Fiorentina should be able to score and that should be enough to avoid loss.

在我看来，佛罗伦萨有很好的机会避免在今天的比赛中失利。

两队本赛季的首场比赛以尤文图斯主场1:0结束比赛——这是非常幸运的，因为他们在加时赛中取得了进球。尤文图斯的预期进球为 0.75，佛罗伦萨为 0.40。佛罗伦萨在最近两场主场对阵他们的比赛中都没有输球。

经过三连胜（两次对阵亚特兰大+斯佩齐亚），佛罗伦萨在上周末客场1:2输给了萨索洛。这是他们不应该的结果，因为他们在 90+4 分钟被进球。佛罗伦萨的预期进球数为 2.30，萨索洛的预期进球数为 1.77。佛罗伦萨以几乎最好的阵容参加这场比赛，他们有很大的动力在主场观众的良好轨道上反弹。

另一方面，尤文图斯在今天的比赛前有严重的阵容问题。他们没有后卫：鲁加尼、博努奇、基耶利尼和桑德罗，中场：扎卡里亚和麦肯尼，边锋：贝尔纳代斯基和基耶萨以及球队超级巨星和最佳球员迪巴拉。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。尤文图斯在过去的四场比赛中只赢了一场——周末客场3:2战胜恩波利，但这一点都不令人信服。恩波利有机会。

尤文图斯连续5场比赛至少失球1球，这对佛罗伦萨前锋皮亚泰克来说是一个进球的好机会，自从他在意大利杯上首次亮相以来，他是本次比赛的最佳射手。佛罗伦萨应该能够得分，这应该足以避免输球。