Clermont vs Bordeaux

Clermont welcome visitors from Bordeaux for this French Ligue 1 round 26 clash at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand late Sunday evening. Neither Clermont not Bordeaux are a top team in this pretty high-level league but the I expect a pretty open and entertaining match! Despite the fact that Bordeaux are the last team in the standings, they are able to score goals. Some of their offensive players would surely be able to play for better clubs. They have scored 37 goals so far but allowed a stunning big number of goals – 62! However, let’s remember that in terms of expected goals allowed, the number should be about 50. But still their defense is a mess and lacks any structure! They have scored about 9 goals more than they should have in terms of expected goals and been slightly lucky in terms of expected points. Bordeaux are not a small club in terms historical success or players’ total market value. They have picked up just 21 points so far but taking the potential they have into account I rate them as the second worst team in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ raw class. Metz, who also have 21 points in the bank, have would have deserved about 4 points less..

Bordeaux, unsurprisingly, are not in good form and have won just one of their latest matches. Even this win was an undeserved one. It was a 4-3 home win over Strasbourg. The visitors created slightly more in expected goals, but Strasbourg controlled the events on the pitch with a 66% ball possession. They also recorded a lot more scoring chances, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks - 23-73! Their defending was once again horrible in this match. There are rumors about bad team spirit, but of course as on outsider it is impossible to know what exactly is going on.. Clermont, on the other hand, are in pretty good for having won 3 of their latest five matches playing at a quite good level overall. They were a little lucky in their most recent match though. It was a hard-fought 2-0 away from home win over a good team Marseille but defended very well indeed! A similar performance would probably be enough to win here. Clermont have also been slightly unlucky this season in terms of expected points, I believe the betting market fails to understand just how bad a traditional big club Bordeaux are at the moment offering my fans and myself to place a bet Clermont -0.5 goals handicap with clearly over 50% chance of winning!

克莱蒙欢迎来自波尔多的游客参加周日晚在克莱蒙费朗的加布里埃尔蒙皮德体育场举行的法甲联赛 1 轮第 26 轮比赛。克莱蒙和波尔多都不是这个相当高水平的联赛中的顶级球队，但我期待一场相当开放和有趣的比赛！尽管波尔多是积分榜上的最后一支球队，但他们能够进球。他们的一些进攻球员肯定能够为更好的俱乐部效力。到目前为止，他们已经打进了 37 个进球，但进球数惊人——62 个！但是，让我们记住，就允许的预期进球而言，这个数字应该是 50 左右。但他们的防守仍然是一团糟，缺乏任何结构！就预期进球而言，他们比应有的多进了大约 9 个进球，并且在预期得分方面略显幸运。就历史上的成功或球员的总身价而言，波尔多并不是一个小俱乐部。到目前为止，他们只拿到了 21 分，但他们发挥了潜力考虑到我将他们评为联赛中第二差的球队，这说明了球队的原始等级。梅斯也有 21 分，本应少得 4 分。

不出所料，波尔多状态不佳，只赢了最近的一场比赛。即便是这场胜利，也是一场当之无愧的胜利。主场4-3战胜斯特拉斯堡。客队创造了更多的预期进球，但斯特拉斯堡以 66% 的控球率控制了球场上的比赛。他们还记录了更多的得分机会、完成的传球、进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——23-73！他们的防守在这场比赛中再次糟糕透顶。有传言说团队精神不好，但当然，作为局外人，不可能知道到底发生了什么。另一方面，克莱蒙队在最近五场比赛中赢得了三场比赛，表现相当不错。整体水平不错。不过，他们在最近的比赛中有点幸运。那是个客场2-0险胜马赛，虽然防守不错！类似的表现可能足以在这里获胜。克莱蒙本赛季在预期积分方面也有些不走运，机构可能无法理解波尔多一家传统的大俱乐部目前有多么糟糕，这场比赛我推荐选择克莱蒙-0.5胜。