Ingostad - St Pauli

I am surprised to see such attractive odds on the, in my opinion, still best team in BL2 against 99% relegated side Ingolstadt. In December this would have been still 1,6x on St Pauli. Now we get odds over 2 in European bookmakers. Is this justified? I doubt it is.

Obviously, it is reasoned by the poor form that St Pauli has had since the second half of the season. Nevertheless, I don't see any deeper lying problems at St Pauli.

In January they were without their most important player and playmaker Kyereh who was at Africa Cup. But he has returned and will also start at Ingolstadt. Then St Pauli frequently played too risky after being behind which made them very vulnerable to counter attacks. Manager Schultz also criticized precisely this after last week's 0:3 against Hannover when they were terribly countered.

But part of the truth is also that St Pauli is still a technically outstanding side. In their last away game at Regensburg (3:2 win), they could have been in front 5:0 or 6:0 at half time. They displayed such amazing combinations which have no rival in this league. And in this match, their best player Kyereh even just came in in the second half because he wasn't 100% fit back then. Now he is fit.

On the other hand, Ingolstadt have indeed been fully competitive in the last few games. Nevertheless, they are stuck at the bottom of the table with almost no hope for staying up. Also, they are quality wise, of course, still much, much worse than St Pauli.

Another important factor is that they have almost no home advantage. Their fan support is close to zero, and if I go through their performances, they actually show better performances on the road.

For St Pauli this is a clear must-win spot. They have been criticized after the big defeat from last week, but I know that the team has a great character. They just need to fix their defense, or just don't go behind. Once they have the lead, they can display their amazing counter play, which is clearly the best in 2. Bundesliga.

Ingolstadt are unable to make the running and basically never come back after being behind, so a lead would mean very high winning chances. In my opinion, St Pauli are the clear favourites here.

Monterrey - Atlético San Luis

Great value on Monterrey here.

Monterrey's championship didn't start well, on the return leg they lost to Puebla, tonight they look for a victory against weak San Luis. They struggled in the previous game against Puebla, which was the first game back to action in the MX league after the Club World Cup.

Their absences are not so important, Monterrey will have a very strong team with players like Joel Campbell, Funes Mori, Maxi Meza… They have a huge pressure by fans to achieve the victory, as they need points urgently: are sitting 15th on the table (with 2 and 3 games less played than some rivals, that's the truth too).

During the week there were some protests by fans due to the poor performance of the team, and players had to calm them down. But a bad performance and a draw/defeat today will be a bomb in Monterrey.

On the other hand, San Luis is one of the weakest teams in the league. They are sitting penultimate in the table, with just 3 points after 6 games played. Only managed to beat America and lost the other 5 games played.

The good fact here is that Monterrey just need to focus on attack here, as defensively they won't have problems: San Luis has the worst attack of the league, with only 4 goals scored so far - One own goal and the other 3 goals in the same game (victory 2:3 against America).

That’s why coach Aguirre has been training this week mainly in the offensive system in Monterrey, where they have huge potential.

Furthermore, San Luis will miss two starters for today: midfielder Sanabria (suspended) and defender Unai Bilbao (injured).

Monterrrey are a much better team and need the three points urgently at home. Guests are a very weak side and it should be a perfect game to see a home win here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

因戈施塔vs圣保利

我很惊讶看到如此有吸引力的赔率，在我看来，仍然是BL2最好的球队对抗99%降级的英戈尔施塔特。在12月的时候，圣保利仍然是1.6x。这是合理的吗?我怀疑不是。

很明显，这是由于圣保利下半赛季以来糟糕的状态。不过，我不认为圣保利存在任何更深层次的问题。

一月份，他们最重要的球员和组织核心凯里没有参加非洲杯。但他已经回来了，也将从因戈尔施塔特开始。圣保利在落后的情况下经常表现得太冒险，这使得他们很容易受到反击。在上周0:3战胜汉诺威后，主教练舒尔茨也批评了这一点。

但事实的一部分是，圣保利仍然是一支技术出众的球队。在上一场客场对阵雷根斯堡的比赛中(3:2获胜)，他们本可以在上半场以5:0或6:0领先。他们展示了如此惊人的组合，在这个联盟中没有对手。而在这场比赛中，他们最好的球员Kyereh甚至在下半场才上场，因为他当时还没有完全康复。现在他很健康。

另一方面，在过去的几场比赛中，因戈尔施塔特确实表现得很有竞争力。然而，他们却被困在了最后一排，几乎没有希望继续保持下去。当然，他们在质量上是明智的，但仍然比圣保利差得多。

另一个重要的因素是他们几乎没有主场优势。他们的粉丝支持几乎为零，如果我看他们的表演，实际上他们在路上的表现更好。

对于圣保利来说，这显然是一个必胜之地。他们在上周的失利后受到了批评，但我知道这支球队有一个伟大的性格。他们只需要调整防守，或者不要落后。一旦他们获得领先优势，他们便能够呈现出自己惊人的对抗策略，这便是德乙中最出色的。

因戈尔施塔特无法跑起来，在落后之后基本上再也没有回来，所以领先意味着非常高的获胜机会。在我看来，圣保利是这里最受欢迎的。

蒙特雷vs圣路易斯

蒙特雷很有价值。

蒙特雷的冠军开局并不好，在第二回合他们输给了普埃布拉，今晚他们希望能战胜弱队圣路易斯。他们在上一场对阵普埃布拉的比赛中表现不佳，这是在世俱杯之后MX联赛的第一场比赛。

他们的缺席并不那么重要,蒙特雷将有一个非常强大的团队球员像Joel坎贝尔•森马克西就……他们有巨大的压力,球迷们取得胜利,因为他们急需点:15日坐在桌子(2和3游戏少玩比一些竞争对手,这是事实)。

在这一周内，由于球队表现不佳，球迷们举行了一些抗议活动，球员们不得不让他们平静下来。但是一个糟糕的表现和一场平局/失败在今天的蒙特雷将是一个炸弹。

另一方面，圣路易斯是联盟中最弱的球队之一。他们排在积分榜倒数第二位，在6场比赛后仅得3分。只打败了美国队，输掉了其他5场比赛。

好的事实是蒙特雷只需要专注于进攻,防守他们不会有问题:San Luis联盟最糟糕的攻击,目前只有4个进球——一个乌龙球,另3目标在同一游戏(胜利对美国2:3)。

这就是为什么阿吉雷教练这周主要在蒙特雷训练进攻体系，在那里他们有巨大的潜力。

此外，圣路易斯今天将缺席两名首发:中场萨纳布里亚(停赛)和后卫乌奈·毕尔巴鄂(受伤)。

蒙特雷是一支更好的球队，在主场急需三分。客队是非常弱的一方，在这里看到主场取胜应该是一场完美的比赛。