Obviously, Manchester City is big favorite of today's match up, but I see really good chances for Tottenham to avoid big loss. +1.5 AH looks like interesting bet.

H2H stats fully agree with my bet. In last 10 matches between both teams in all competitions only once Manchester City won against Tottenham with more than one goal margin.

Like I mentioned before - Tottenham improved under Antonio Conte because he is top class manager. Team not delivered good results in last matches, but I still trust his methods. He played 4 times against Manchester City manager Guardiola and recorded 2 wins against him. For sure he have plan for this match - counter attacks. Tottenham top players like Son or Kane loves to play this way. In first match of the season between both teams Son scored a goal and Tottenham won 1:0. Son scored 6 goals in 8 matches against City.

City at Wednesday played Champions League match against Sporting, so freshness for sure is on Tottenham side. I found interesting stats about City Premier League matches straight nafter knockout stage matches. They conceded at least one goal in 10 of 13 such matches. So I see good chances for Tottenham to score as well

Why I believe Tottenham is able to not concede so many goals today? Their key central defender Eric Dier is available today. It's extremely important player for Conte, with him on the pitch he didn't lost a match! When Dier played Tottenham didn't t lost in 8 Premier League matches. He should give a lot of confidence for defensive formation.

Tottenham lost last 3 Premier League matches, but they didn't lost 4 since 2004. Tottenham conceded more than one goal in last 4 Premier League matches, but they not conceded in 5 since 2003..

Pressure is on City, they have to win, Tottenham only can and this is big difference. Goal can give wings for Tottenham here and I believe they are able to not lose this match with more than one goal.

显然，曼城是今天比赛的热门，但我认为托特纳姆热刺避免惨败的机会非常大。热刺受让胜看上去很有趣。

交手记录统计数据完全印证我的观点。两队最近10次各项赛事交锋中，只有一次曼城以超过1球的优势战胜热刺。

就像我之前提到的——托特纳姆热刺在孔蒂的带领下进步了，因为他是顶级教练。球队在上一场比赛中没有取得好成绩，但我仍然相信他的方法。他与曼城主帅瓜迪奥拉交手4次，并取得两场胜利。可以肯定的是，他对这场比赛有计划——反击。孙兴慜或凯恩这样的托特纳姆顶级球员喜欢这样的方式。两队本赛季的首场比赛中，孙兴慜打进一球，托特纳姆热刺1:0获胜。孙兴慜在对阵曼城的8场比赛中打进6球。

周三，曼城在欧冠联赛中对阵葡萄牙体育，所以体能方面肯定托特纳姆热刺更有优势。我发现了有趣的统计数据，关于城市超级联赛的比赛，接下来的淘汰赛阶段比赛。他们在13场这样的比赛中有10场至少丢了一个球。所以我认为托特纳姆热刺也有很好的进球机会。

为什么我相信托特纳姆热刺今天不会丢这么多球？他们的关键中卫埃里克·迪尔今天上场。对孔蒂来说，这是极其重要的球员，有他在场上，热刺还没有输过一场比赛！当戴尔上场时，托特纳姆热刺在8场英超比赛中都没有输球。他应该可以给防守阵型很大的信心。

托特纳姆热刺过去3场英超联赛输球，但自2004年以来他们没有连续输过4场。热刺在过去4场英超联赛比赛中失球超过1个，但自2003年以来他们没有5场失球。

压力在曼城，他们必须赢，热刺只能赢，这是很大的不同。进球可以为托特纳姆热刺提供帮助，我相信他们不会以两球以上的差距输掉这场比赛。