In my opinion Burnley have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. I see +2 hc as a very good bet, I can't image Liverpool win with more than 2 goals margin.

Previous season for Liverpool was amazing, especially at home - they won 18 of 19 Premier League matches at Anfield Road. They failed to win only against Burnley - match between both teams at this stadium finished with draw 1:1. I believe Burnley have all tools to be tricky opposition once again.

Liverpool at the moment is in big slump. They didn't recorded a win in last 4 Premier League matches in a row. Their offensive formation lost firepower in last weeks - they scored only 1 goal in last 4 matches. They failed to score in last 3 matches in a row. Some people's believe one of the reason for that situation is central midfielder Alcantara (brain of the team) . He likes to possess the ball, but because of that Liverpool plays slower than in previous season and opponents defenders have more time to prepare for their attacks. We saw exactly that in last matches when Liverpool hitting the wall all match long. To be honest, I expecting similar scenario today. As well looks like level of confidence drops in team. Liverpool is title defender, but manager Jurgen Klopp said: "The most important thing is to qualify for the Champions League and I know how difficult it is. This season it will be a tough race for the top four." That's sounds very weird and I'm not sure that will have good impact on players.

In overall Burnley have great defensive formation - in previous season they kept clean sheet 15 times in 38 matches, only Manchester City had better result (17) in whole league. Burnley had bad start of the season because many of their key players were unavailable. In November, their key central defender and team captain Ben Mee came back to the team. Since then Burnley defensive formation improved, Mee together with Tarkowski (one of the best central defender in Premier League) are very solid pair. Since Mee comeback Burnley kept clean sheet 5 times in 11 Premier League matches. In these 11 matches only once Burnley conceded more than one goal - on away against City, but in overall Burnley have horrific H2H against them.

Burnley for sure will sit back very deep and try to be solid much as possible. That not will be easy for Liverpool to break their defense. Burnley will look for some chances from free kick or corner (they scored almost 50% goals from set pieces). Liverpool defense made a lot of silly errors in current season and I not will be surprised if Burnley will be able to score today. Obviously Liverpool is still big favorite here, but for sure that not will be like walk in the park for them.

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在我看来，伯恩利有很好的机会避免大的失败。我认为+2是一个很好的赌注，我无法想象利物浦会以超过2球的优势获胜。

上个赛季利物浦的表现是惊人的，尤其是在主场——他们在安菲尔德路赢得了19场英超比赛中的18场。他们只赢了伯恩利，两队在这个球场的比赛以1:1的平局结束。我相信伯恩利有能力再次成为一个狡猾的对手。

利物浦目前正处于大萧条之中。他们在过去的4场英超比赛中都没有取得胜利。他们的进攻阵型在上周失去了火力——他们在最近4场比赛中只进了1球。他们在过去的三场比赛中都没有得分。一些人认为这种情况的原因之一是中场阿尔坎塔拉(球队的大脑)。他喜欢控球，但正因为如此，利物浦的速度比前一个赛季要慢，对手的后卫有更多的时间来准备进攻。我们在上一场比赛中就看到了这一点，利物浦队整场比赛都在撞墙。说实话，我希望今天也能有类似的情况。看起来团队的信心水平下降了。利物浦是冠军的后卫，但是主教练克洛普说:“最重要的事情是获得冠军联赛的资格，我知道这有多难。”这个赛季将会是一场争夺前四名的艰苦竞争。”这听起来很奇怪，我不确定这会对玩家有什么好的影响。

总的来说，伯恩利有很好的防守阵型——上个赛季他们在38场比赛中有15场没有失球，只有曼城有17场的好成绩。伯恩利的开局很糟糕，因为他们的很多关键球员都无法上场。11月，他们的核心中卫兼队长本米回到了球队。此后伯恩利的防守阵型得到了改善，梅伊和塔尔科夫斯基(英超最好的中后卫之一)是非常稳固的组合。自从梅伊复出后，伯恩利在11场英超比赛中有5场没有失球。在这11场比赛中，伯恩利只有一次失球超过一球——客场对阵曼城，但总的来说，伯恩利对他们有可怕的H2H。

伯恩利肯定会坐得很靠后，尽量保持稳定。利物浦要打破他们的防守并不容易。伯恩利会寻找一些任意球或角球的机会(他们近50%的进球来自定位球)。利物浦的防守在本赛季犯了很多愚蠢的错误，如果伯恩利今天能进球，我也不会感到惊讶。很明显利物浦在这里仍然很受欢迎，但肯定不会像在公园里散步一样。

竞彩选择让球玩法平+负。