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西班牙人,全职体育专家。
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The best pick for the Monday is here!

2022-02-14

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期二2022-02-15 04:00

解读理由

This should be a fight game.

Mallorca has been improving a lot in the last few weeks. They were very unlucky in the beginning of the season with the injuries, individual mistakes at the back and bad form of some key players. But the club made great moves in the transfer market and right now the team looks pretty solid, totally able to achieve the target - avoid relegation.

They are sitting 17 on the table, just 3 points above relegation so they must achieve points everywhere, especially at home where they are showing their best face: have lost only 2 games so far there (11 played): vs Barcelona (0:1) and Osasuna (2:3), with a goal conceded at 88’ and on a strange match, as isn’t usual to concede 3 goals at home for them. To give you an idea, other top teams like Barcelona or Real Sociedad have lost the same amount of games at home.

As said, they had problems with the injuries, but right now they have the whole squad available. Furthermore, made great transfers to increase the level of the team and cover their weak points: signed a great and experienced goalkeeper (Sergio Rico from PSG), a great striker (Muriqi from Lazio) and two talented wingers (Take Kubo from Real Madrid and Kang-in Lee from Valencia).

On the other hand we have Athletic Club, who may have the same problem as Valencia had in the weekend (lost 2:1 vs Alaves) - to be distracted and exhausted. They played a very demanding and difficult match in the midweek against Valencia, Spanish Cup ½ finals. Valencia already had a poor performance against Alaves, without intensity and concentration, so we may see the same for Athletic here.

Furthermore, Athletic is a very weak traveler: they have won just 3 games (12 played), with only 8 goals scored. For this match they will miss some key players: starter midfieder Vencedor; Nico Williams, a young striker who was in great form; Iñigo Martinez, their best defender and captain; starter LB De Marcos and his replacement Capa. Also the other starter central back Yeray is doubtful due to an injury. So we will see a very weak defense for Athletic today, without several key players.

Athletic would be a better side if they achieve to make a fast game, with a lot of pace, box to box, and with spaces for the counters. Like they did in the previous game at home against Mallorca where they put in a lot of intensity and won 2:0 easily. But I don't think they will be able to do that because: they won’t play at home (so their performance will decrease), they are tired after the midweek game, and they have the absence of some key players for this kind of football (especially Iñigo Martinez and Nico Williams).

I think that Mallorca will be able to make the kind of game they want: slow football, with possession and control. Mallorca has enough weapons to do it and at least don't lose this match. And it is a team who has a lot of danger upfront who may take advantage of the weak defense we will see in the guests today, almost full reserve.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马略卡在过去的几周里有了很大的改善。他们在赛季初非常不走运,伤病不断,后防线出现失误,一些关键球员的状态也很糟糕。但是俱乐部在转会市场上做出了巨大的举动,现在球队看起来很稳固,完全能够实现避免降级的目标。

他们在积分榜上有17分,只比降级高3分,所以他们必须在任何地方都得积分,特别是在主场,他们在这里展示了他们最好的面貌:到目前为止,他们只输了2场比赛(11场比赛):对阵巴萨(0:1)和奥萨苏纳(2:3),在88分的时候丢了一个球,这是一场奇怪的比赛,他们在主场丢3个球是不常见的。让你想想,其他顶级球队,比如巴塞罗那和皇家社会,在主场也输掉了同样多的比赛。

正如所说,他们有伤病问题,但现在他们有整支球队。此外,为了提高球队的水平和弥补他们的弱点,他们做了很多伟大的转会:签下了一个伟大和经验丰富的门将(圣日耳曼的塞尔吉奥·里科),一个伟大的前锋(拉齐奥的穆里奇)和两个有天赋的边锋(从皇马带走了久保,从瓦伦西亚带走了李康仁)。

另一方面,毕尔巴鄂可能和瓦伦西亚在周末遇到了同样的问题(2:1输给了阿拉维斯)——注意力分散和筋疲力尽。在周中对阵瓦伦西亚的西班牙杯½决赛中,他们打了一场非常艰苦的比赛。瓦伦西亚在对阿尔维斯的比赛中表现不佳,缺乏强度和注意力,所以我们在这里可以看到同样的情况。

此外,毕尔巴鄂是一个非常弱的客队:他们只赢了3场比赛(12场比赛),只有8个进球。在这场比赛中,他们将失去一些关键球员:首发中场文塞多;尼科·威廉姆斯,一名年轻的前锋,状态极佳;伊涅戈·马丁内斯,他们最好的后卫和队长;先发德马科斯和他的替补卡帕。另外,另一名首发中卫耶雷也因伤无法上场。所以我们今天会看到竞技队的防守非常薄弱,没有几个关键球员。

如果他们能够创造出一款快速的游戏,拥有足够的速度,盒对盒,以及足够的反击空间,那么运动型的球队将会是一个更好的选择。就像他们在上一场主场对阵马洛卡的比赛一样,他们投入了大量的精力,轻松地以2:0获胜。但我不认为他们能做到这一点,因为:他们不会在主场比赛(所以他们的表现会下降),他们在周中比赛后会感到疲惫,而且他们的一些关键球员缺席(特别是伊涅戈·马丁内斯和尼克·威廉姆斯)。

我认为马洛卡将会做出他们想要的比赛:慢节奏的足球,控球和控制。马略卡有足够的能力,至少不会输掉这场比赛。这是一支在前面有很多危险的球队,他们可能会利用我们今天在客队身上看到的薄弱的防守,几乎是全部的储备。

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