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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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Expecting a high scoring game

2022-02-12

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期日2022-02-13 01:30

解读理由

I tip everyone to oppose Stuttgart in their current state. I’ve had a few bets against them along the current campaign, always underlining their problems and the prospects of potential fight for survival. Now the team is nearing the finish line and are indeed in the 17th place, which grants a direct ticket to Bundesliga II.

Yet, the bookmakers keep rating the team relatively high for whatever reason. Their actual gameplay has nothing to support the bookmakers' love. Only last week they were -0.25 favorites at home vs. Eintracht Frankfurt and eventually lost 2-3. They’ve in fact lost 4 of their last 5 Bundesliga games and from what I can tell, there is not a single sign of improvement for Stuttgart.

In comparison to the game from last week their squad is actually going to be only weaker: main striker Kalajdzic (16 goals in 2020/21 campaign) is out again, so is regular defender Anton. Marmoush, who could’ve featured if fit, is out with Covid-19. A common opinion is that this could be the last game for the American manager Matarazzo, who has failed to work in a critical situation being hit so hard by various squad issues.

Bayer Leverkusen have been one of my favorite teams to bet this season, yet not always successful. But my general opinion of them is spot on, I believe, as the team is confidently riding in the 3rd position and is now on a great run of form (3 wins in a row, including an ugly humiliation of pitiful Borussia 5-2).

I don’t see how Stuttgart can contain this machine in their current state and I seriously doubt they’d succeed on Saturday evening. -1.25 is the line for Bayer and you’d lose half-stake in case of a narrow home win. However, I do believe a 2+ goals win is on the cards as Stuttgart has to take risks due to them drowning deeper and deeper to the bottom of Bundesliga table.


我建议每个人在目前的状态下反对斯图加特。在当前的竞选活动中,我与他们进行了一些赌注,总是强调他们的问题以及潜在的生存之战的前景。现在球队已经接近终点线,确实排在了第17位,这给了德甲II的直接入场券。

然而,无论出于何种原因,机构对球队的评价都相对较高。就在上周,他们在主场对阵法兰克福的比赛中是 -0.25 的热门,最终以 2-3 告负。事实上,他们在过去的 5 场德甲比赛中输掉了 4 场,据我所知,斯图加特没有任何改善的迹象。

与上周的比赛相比,他们的阵容实际上只会更弱:主力前锋卡拉季奇(2020/21 赛季打进 16 球)再次缺席,常规后卫安东也无法出场。如果合适的话,Marmoush 感染新冠。一个普遍的看法是,这可能是美国主教练马塔拉佐的最后一场比赛,他在受到各种球队问题的严重打击的危急情况下未能工作。

勒沃库森一直是我本赛季最喜欢下注的球队之一,但并不总是成功。但我对他们的总体看法是正确的,我相信,因为球队自信地排在第 3 位,现在状态很好(连续 3 场胜利,包括以 5-2 惨败可怜的 Borussia)。

我不明白斯图加特如何能限制勒沃库森,我严重怀疑他们能否在周六晚上取得成功。-1.25 是勒沃库森的让步,如果主场险胜,您将失去一半的资金。但是,我确实相信 2 球以上的胜利是有可能的,斯图加特必须承担风险,因为他们限制在德甲积分榜上越陷越深。

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