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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How they will play without him today? 核心球员缺席

2022-02-11

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2022-02-12 03:30

解读理由

In my opinion RBL is clear favorite of today's match up.

RBL started current season in very bad style, but since they changed coach their form raised up. They won 5 of 8 matches with Domenico Tedesco on the bench. After streak of 4 straight wins, in last round they lost 2:3 on away against the strongest team in Bundesliga - Bayern Munich. Even in that game RBL looked extremely good. According to the expected goals scored model they shouldn't lose that game! Expected goals scored for RBL 3.03, for Bayern 2.88. RBL at the moment don' t have any problems with goalscoring - Nkunku scored already 10 goals in Bundesliga, Andre Silva only one less and he made big improvement under Tedesco - 6 goals in 7 matches under new coach.RBL today coming with the strongest possible line up and they will play at home where they are extremely hard to stop - RBL won in 8 of 11 home matches so far and scored 31 goals in the process. I see continuation of good trends at home for them today as well.

On the other hand Koln is not strong away team - only 2 wins in 10 away matches and conceded 19 goals in the process. Today they have huge squad problem because their best scorer Modeste is unavailable, he scored 14 of 33 Koln goals in current Bundesliga season. He scored 7 goals in last 7 Koln matches. It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today. No doubt about that. Koln defensive formation is very unstable, they conceded at least one goal in 19 of 21 matches so far.

All in all, RBL have big firepower and should score more than one goal today without too big problems, but I don't see more than one goal for Koln without Modeste. Home win is the most logical choice.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,RBL显然是当今最受欢迎的比赛。

RBL本赛季开局很糟糕,但自从更换教练后,他们的状态有所提升。在多梅尼科·特德斯科坐在替补席上的情况下,他们赢得了8场比赛中的5场。在四连胜之后,他们在上一轮客场2:3输给了德甲最强的拜仁慕尼黑。即使在那款游戏中,《RBL》看起来也非常棒。根据预期进球模型,他们不应该输掉比赛!预期进球:RBL 3.03,拜仁2.88。RBL目前在进球方面没有任何问题——恩昆库已经在德甲进了10个球,安德烈·席尔瓦只少了一个,他在特德斯科的带领下取得了很大的进步——在新教练的带领下,他在7场比赛中进了6个球。RBL今天的阵容是最强的,他们将在主场比赛,这是很难被阻止的。RBL目前在11场主场比赛中赢了8场,并在这个过程中进了31个球。我也看到了今天他们在国内的良好趋势的延续。

另一方面,科隆的客场实力并不强——10场客场比赛只赢了2场,丢了19个球。如今,他们的球队面临着巨大的问题,因为他们最好的射手莫德斯特无法上场,他在当前的德甲赛季为科隆队打入了33粒进球中的14粒。他在最近的7场科隆比赛中打进7球。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。毫无疑问。科隆的防守阵型非常不稳定,到目前为止,他们在21场比赛中有19场至少丢了一个球。

总而言之,RBL拥有强大的火力,并且在今天应该可以在没有太大问题的情况下取得一个以上的进球,但我认为没有莫德斯特的科隆不会取得一个以上的进球。主场取胜是最合理的选择。

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