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Surprise here? 英超 狼队VS维拉

2026-02-27

比赛分析

解读理由

Wolverhampton Wanderers have certainly delivered some improved performances recently, but they are still stuck in the relegation zone, and I think the better team will win here — so I’m backing an away victory at decent odds of 1.90.

Wolverhampton were the better side in the first half away to Crystal Palace last Sunday, but they came no closer than a missed penalty just before the break. It was a quiet start after halftime, but when they had a player sent off after an hour, problems followed, and it ended in a 0–1 defeat after the winner came in the 90th minute.

Most things went as expected in the first hour when Wolves hosted league leaders Arsenal in the previous round, as they trailed 0–2 and created absolutely nothing. Then, out of nowhere, Bueno struck with a long-range effort, and when Arsenal’s Calafiori turned the ball into his own net four minutes into stoppage time, Wolves snatched a fortunate point in a 2–2 draw.

After a run of 11 straight defeats, there have been “only” four more losses in the last ten matches, but at the same time just one single victory, so the points tally has remained poor even if performances have occasionally looked improved. When that lone win came at the 20th attempt — and is still their only three-point haul — it’s clear this has been a dreadful season. With a record of 1-7-20, they are 17 points from safety, and the Wolves remain firmly on course for the Championship.

The hosts have recorded 1-3-10 with a 13-30 goal difference at Molineux Stadium this season, following a draw against Arsenal and defeats to Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth in their last three home matches.

Chiwome is reportedly sidelined through injury, Krejci is suspended, and Hwang Hee-chan is considered doubtful.

Aston Villa were the stronger side in terms of general play at home to Leeds United last weekend, while chances were fairly even, and a 1–1 draw was probably a fair result after Villa equalised with two minutes remaining.

Neither team really deserved to win when the Villans hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the previous round, in a very even and chance-poor contest, but it was perhaps no surprise that Villa edged it 1–0 after the decisive goal — an own goal — came four minutes from time.

After a poor start to the season without a win in their first five matches, Aston Villa went on a fantastic run, recording 12 Premier League wins from 13 attempts, showing a remarkable ability to edge tight games in their favour. However, things have cooled recently, with just three more victories in their last nine matches (3-3-3), and they have fallen out of the title race. The Birmingham side still sit in an excellent third place in the table with 15 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats, now ten points behind leaders Arsenal and six points clear of sixth place.

The visitors have recorded 6-4-3 with an 18-17 goal difference away from home this season, following draws against Bournemouth and Crystal Palace, and a win over Newcastle United in their last three away matches.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

狼队最近的表现确实有所改善,但他们仍然被困在降级区,我认为更好的球队会在这里获胜——所以我以1.90的赔率预测一场客场胜利。

在上周日对阵水晶宫的上半场比赛中,狼队表现更好,但他们在中场休息前错失了一个点球。半场结束后,比赛平静地开始,但当一名球员在一小时后被罚下时,问题随之而来,在第90分钟取得胜利后,比赛以0比1的比分结束。

在上一轮比赛狼队主场迎战联赛领头羊阿森纳的第一个小时里,一切都如预期的那样进行,他们0-2落后,没有创造任何机会。然后,布埃诺突然一记远射破门,当阿森纳的卡拉菲奥里将球打进自己的球门时,狼队幸运地获得了一分,以2比2战平。

在经历了11连败之后,在过去的10场比赛中,他们“只”输了4场,但同时也只有一场胜利,所以即使表现偶尔有所改善,积分仍然很低。当唯一的胜利出现在第20次尝试时,这仍然是他们唯一的三分球,很明显这是一个可怕的赛季。目前的战绩是1胜7负20负,他们距离安全还有17分,狼队仍然坚定地向着冠军前进。

东道主本赛季在莫利纽球场取得了1胜3负的战绩,净胜球13-30,在过去的三场主场比赛中,他们战平了阿森纳,并分别输给了切尔西和伯恩茅斯。

据报道,chiwoman因伤缺阵,Krejci被禁赛,黄喜灿被认为是不确定的。

阿斯顿维拉在上周末主场迎战利兹联的比赛中表现更强,机会均等,维拉在比赛还剩两分钟时扳平比分,1-1平局可能是一个公平的结果。

在上一轮比赛中,维拉主场迎战布莱顿和霍夫时,两支球队都不应该赢得比赛,这是一场非常势均力敌、机会很少的比赛,但维拉在最后4分钟打进决定性的乌龙球后以1-0险胜也就不足为奇了。

在经历了前5场比赛没有获胜的糟糕开局后,阿斯顿维拉打出了惊人的表现,在英超联赛中13次尝试取得12场胜利,显示出他们在激烈的比赛中取得优势的非凡能力。然而,最近情况有所降温,他们在最近的9场比赛中只取得了3场胜利(3-3-3),他们已经退出了冠军争夺战。伯明翰仍然以15胜6平6负的成绩排在积分榜的第三位,现在落后领头羊阿森纳10分,比第六名高出6分。

客队本赛季客场战绩为6胜4负,净胜球为18胜17负,此前客场战平伯恩茅斯和水晶宫,并在最近三场客场比赛中战胜纽卡斯尔联。

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