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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More Belgian soccer WINNERS?

2022-01-28

比赛分析

比甲

已完赛

星期六2022-01-29 03:45

解读理由

                                              Sint Truidense vs Charleroi


Sint Truidense host Charleroi for this Belgian Jupiler Pro League round 25 clash early Saturday morning Beijing time.  I see this match as more low-scoring match than the betting market, most football joutnalists and I would guess many experts too.. The lower goal expectancy does of course increase the probability of a draw  -  resulting my fans' and my bet Sint Truidende +0.5 goals handicap being better! The hosts are without a doubt not clear, but still solid the favorites here and the chance of them not losing - and our bet being a winner - is a little more than 70%. So far my fans have won 4/5 picks on this league. The visitors Charleroi are  currently in 6th position with 37 points.I think Charleroi have over-performed so far and I expect them to lose positions during the rest of the season. The hosts have recorded 28 points but without a doubt have potential for more! Especially offensively I would have expected more from them. 

Sint Truidense have now taken two solid wins in their latest home matches and are overall in a lot better form than the visitors who have won just one of their latest 5 matches. The only win came in a friendly match versus Romanian club UTA Arad. I was not able to watch that match but based on reports I received it was not a very high-class match from either team.. UTA Arad are a pretty small team, and their players' total market value of 8.90 million euros according to the respected German website Transfermarkt.com is a lot less than that of Charleroi - 29.90 million euros. Charleroi are surely capable of improving from previous matches but will that be enough to win? Quite probably not.. This match probably will not be super entertaining but overall I recommend my fans to watch this league from time to time. I would say, the top-8 teams are capable of pretty classy, often pretty aggressive and fast-tempo football. The hosts have been unlucky in quite a few matches this season in terms of expected goals and would have deserved more points.. I am not saying they are a great team but will probably still be able to climb up the standings during the rest of the season. 
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