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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More World Cup qualifying match WINNERS?

2022-01-28

比赛分析

北美预选

已完赛

星期五2022-01-28 10:05

解读理由

Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica welcome visitors from Panama for this FIFA World Cup qualification round 9 battle at in Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica in San José Friday morning Beijing time. I expect a little more low-scoring match than the betting market, most football analysts and probably many experts too. The lower goal expectancy would of course increase the probability of a draw hence making my fans' and my bet better! Stakes are high especially for Panama who have indeed played well, perhaps better than most analysts and the betting market predicted before the qualifying started.. The situation in the standings is tight to say the least as Panama in the 4th place have 14 points in the bank but the leaders, Canada have only 2 points more.. Panama have indeed played better than the hosts and I think, opposite to the betting market's view, that there is no favorite in this match and our bet Panama +0.5 goals has a very good chance of winning!

The hosts' Ricardo Blanco is injured. However, for the visitors the situation is optimal as there are no reported injuries among the 30 players called up for the qualifying fixtures played this week. Costa Rica did beat the rock-bottom team Honduras in their most recent match 2-1 at home but failed to really convince me despite the win. They seemed to lack some creativity offensively.. They would have to improve from that match to beat strong Panama today. Before the Honduras game they lost to Canada and USA and where seriously outplayed in both matches despite the final score being close in these matches. Against USA, away from home, the Americans had 64% ball possession and recorded 12 scoring attempts whereas Costa Rica only had 4. USA also recorded a lot more shots on target, attacks, dangerous attacks and completed passes. A more clear would have been justified. The visitors, on the other hand, played a very good match a while ago versus Peru away from home. It was a pretty balanced match despite Peru being some 67% favorites to win according to the betting market. In their most recent qualifying group match they dominated El Salvador at home recording close to 30 scoring attempts. The visitors had only 5 goal attempts. A win by many goals difference would have been justified. Panama can still improve and even if they were not able to do that here they would still have good chance to even win!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周五上午,哥斯达黎加在圣José哥斯达黎加国家体育场欢迎来自巴拿马的游客参加世界杯预选赛第9轮比赛。我预计这场比赛的得分会比博彩市场低一些,大多数足球分析师可能还有许多专家都是如此。较低的进球预期当然会增加平局的概率,从而让我的球迷和我的赌注更大!赌注很高,尤其是对巴拿马来说,他们确实踢得很好,可能比大多数分析师和赌博市场在预选赛开始前预测的还要好。排名上的情况很紧张,排名第四的巴拿马有14分,但领先的加拿大只多了2分。巴拿马确实比东道主踢得好,我认为,与博彩市场的观点相反,这场比赛没有谁是最受欢迎的,我们打赌巴拿马+0.5球有很大的机会获胜!

东道主里卡多·布兰科(Ricardo Blanco)受伤。然而,对于客队来说,情况是最理想的,因为本周预选赛征召的30名球员中没有受伤的报道。哥斯达黎加在最近的一场主场比赛中以2-1击败了洪都拉斯队,但尽管赢了,还是没能真正说服我。他们似乎在进攻上缺乏一些创造力。他们必须在那场比赛中有所提高,才能在今天击败强大的巴拿马。在与洪都拉斯的比赛之前,他们输给了加拿大和美国,尽管两场比赛的最终比分接近,但他们在这两场比赛中都表现得很好。在客场对阵美国队的比赛中,美国队控球率为64%,有12次射门得分,而哥斯达黎加只有4次。美国也记录了更多的命中目标,攻击,危险的攻击和完成的传球。更明确的解释是合理的。另一方面,客队在不久前客场对阵秘鲁的比赛中打得非常好。这是一场相当平衡的比赛,尽管根据博彩市场,秘鲁有67%的胜率。在最近一场预选赛中,他们在主场称霸萨尔瓦多,进球近30次。客队只有5次进球机会。一场多进球的胜利是合理的。巴拿马仍然可以提高,即使他们不能做到这一点,他们仍然有很好的机会甚至赢得!

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