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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Big match between two teams from Top5

2021-01-20

比赛分析

主队莱红牛LOGO

莱红牛

德甲

已完赛

星期四2021-01-21 03:30

客队柏林联合LOGO

柏林联合

解读理由

In my opinion RBL is clear favorite of this match and they should make 3 points.

RBL played 3 home matches against Union in past. They won all of them and in each game scored 3 goals. In previous season RBL twice totally outclassed Union - they won 4:0 on away and 3:1 at home. Marcel Sabitzer looked fantastic in these matches - 2 goals and 4 assists. Today he should be dangerous as well.

Union have excellent season so far - they are on 5th place with 28 points, but for me they don't have enough quality and consistency to keep that pace until end of the season. I'm sure they will not finish season in top6. They finished last year on 11th place and this is place about their potential - middle of the table. RBL is one of the strongest team in Germany, they played in semifinal of Champions League. They finished last two years on 3rd position and now they have even bigger ambitions. They are on second place - only 4 points behind Bayern. Everything is possible, but they have to win such matches against lower rank opponents without any excuses.

RBL should be able to control middle zone without too many problems because they are one class above Union with the ball. RBL average ball possession in current season 55.5%, Union only 42.8%. RBL have 447 accurate passes par game, Union only 297.

RBL have amazing firepower - they scored 17 goals in 8 home matches so far, but they should score even more (expected goals scored: 19.84). They shouldn't have too many problems with goalscoring against Union defense - Union conceded at least one goal in 12 of 16 Bundesliga matches so far.

Union scored a lot of goals so far, but they had a lot luck as well - their offense is not that good. They have 4.8 shots on target per game (10th result in whole league). In away matches they scored 12 goals, but they should score less (expected goals scored: 9.23). Today they will face the best defense in league - RBL defensive formation works on highest possible level. They kept clean sheet 10 times in 16 matches, it's amazing statistic. Union should have problems with goalscoring today - they coming for today's match without winger Becker (2 goals in last 3 matches), best striker Kruse (6 goals and 5 assists) and striker Pohjanpalo (2 goals).

RBL with the strongest possible line up today. They should be able to win.


在我看来,莱比锡显然是这场比赛的热门,他们应该得到3分。‘’

过去,莱比锡曾与柏林联合进行过3场主场比赛。他们赢得了全部的较量,并且在每场比赛中攻入3球。在上赛季,莱比锡两次战胜了对手-他们在客场以4:0获胜,在主场3:1获胜。马塞尔·萨比策(Marcel Sabitzer)在这些比赛中表现出色-2个进球和4个助攻。今天他对比柏林联合来说很危险。

柏林联合到目前为止表现出色-他们以28分排在第五位,但是对我来说,他们没有足够的实力来保持这样的势头直到赛季结束。我敢肯定他们不会在前6名。去年他们排名第11位,这是他们的实力所在-中游。莱比锡是德国最强的球队之一,他们去年参加了欧冠联赛的半决赛。他们在过去两年都获得了第三名,现在他们有了更大的野心。他们排名第二-仅落后拜仁4分。一切皆有可能,但他们必须赢得这样的胜利,没有任何借口。

RBL应该能够控制中场区域,因为他们的实力比柏林联合高出一档。莱比锡在当前赛季平均控球率为55.5%,柏林联合仅42.8%。 莱比锡有447次准确传球,柏林联合只有297次。莱比锡具有惊人的火力-到目前为止,他们在8场主场比赛中打入17球,但他们应该取得更多的进球(预期进球数:19.84)。面对柏林联合的防守,在进球上应该不会有太多问题-迄今为止,柏林联合在16场德甲比赛中有12场至少失1球。

柏林联合到目前为止取得了很多进球,但是他们也有很多运气-他们的进攻并不那么好。他们平均每场比赛有4.8设置(第10名)。在客场比赛中他们取得12个进球,但他们的进球应该更少(预期进球:9.23)。今天,他们将面对防守最好的莱比锡-16场比赛中有10场保持零封,这是非常惊人的数据。柏林联合今天在进球方面应该有问题-他们缺少边锋贝克尔(最近3场比赛有2个进球),最佳前锋克鲁斯(6个进球和5个助攻)和前锋波赫帕洛(2个进球)。

莱比锡拥有最强的阵容。他们应该能够获胜。

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